Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 23

Date: 1 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Nikola Shterev - Starika Sports Complex (Plovdiv)

Referee: Dimitrov D. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Serbia	SportKlub 1, Sportklub


	Krumovgrad		Lokomotiv Sofia

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.6	Watch
	2.99	2.98	2.78
	2.91	2.88	2.67	Watch
	2.78	3.09	2.59	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.32)	2.93 ↓ (3.13)	2.64 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Krumovgrad
33%

Draw
31.8%

Lokomotiv Sofia
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

29.4%

31%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Krumovgrad's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	50%	20%

Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Krumovgrad will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Lokomotiv Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Georgiev Y. (G) 18. Sy S. 5. Guinari P. 44. Obissa S. 14. Cova A. 6. Alonso I. 8. Gonzalez J. 70. Veiga T. 10. Itu C. 27. Keita I. 99. Sellouf A.	24. Lyubenov A. (G) 13. Raposo C. 44. Katsarov B. 91. Bidounga R. 12. Bruno Franco 31. Stanoev K. 20. Teixeira D. 11. Brrou A. 58. Octavio 7. Delev S. 29. Aralica A.
Substitutes
17. Dobrev K. 22. Dost E. 13. Isuf A. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 24. Marin L. 19. Milev N. 77. Popov S. 25. Rabotov S. 7. Tsvetanov M.	22. Ali D. 21. Chachev K. 26. Diarra M. 18. Dikov S. 25. dos Santos G. 27. Galchev P. 94. Nenov Y. 1. Petkov D. (G) 5. Pitsolis A.
Coaches
Ribarski A.	Velkov A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
29', 0 - 1, Delev S. ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, Teixeira D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Veiga T. ↓, Tsvetanov M. ↑,
46', Sellouf A. ↓, Dobrev K. ↑,
54', Octavio 🟨,
56', Sy S. 🟨,
64', Gonzalez J. ↓, Dost E. ↑,
64', Sy S. ↓, Isuf A. ↑,
73', Stanoev K. ↓, Galchev P. ↑,
73', Brrou A. ↓, Pitsolis A. ↑,
78', Octavio ↓, Dikov S. ↑,
81', Delev S. ↓, dos Santos G. ↑,
82', Cova A. ↓, Milev N. ↑,
90', Guinari P. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 12 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Lokomotiv Sofia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There are questionable in Krumovgrad: Lucas Santana (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Krumovgrad won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0 (average 1.3:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Krumovgrad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.02.25	Septemvri Sofia - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Krumovgrad - Cherno More Varna	1:1 ✺
10.02.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Krumovgrad	0:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
16.12.24	Krumovgrad - Arda Kardzhali	0:2 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.12.24	Krumovgrad - Levski Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTTLL
- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
23.02.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
14.02.25	Botev Vratsa - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:3 ✺
09.02.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:4 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
15.12.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	1:5 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
08.12.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.10.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:0
25.02.24	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	0:2
26.08.23	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0

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