Match Info

Date: 5 August 2022, Friday

Location: Langfang City Sports Center (Langfang)


	Hebei CFFC		Chengdu Rongcheng

	1	X	2
	9	4.5	1.4	Watch
	7.5	4.1	1.41
	9	4.35	1.34
	7.6	4.3	1.4
	9.78	4.08	1.42
	8.5	4	1.36
	8.3	4.45	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.53 ↑ (6.07)	4.25 ↑ (3.85)	1.39 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hebei CFFC
10.9%

Draw
21.9%

Chengdu Rongcheng
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.3%

24.1%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

23.5%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hebei CFFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chengdu Rongcheng's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebei CFFC than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chengdu Rongcheng than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chengdu Rongcheng, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	20%	46.7%

Hebei CFFC - Chengdu Rongcheng Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hebei will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 21.5% – 71.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 12).

Hebei has the most likely position - 11 (100%), has project points - 33, has currently - 33, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Hebei is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Chengdu Rongcheng is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hebei CFFC
Chinese Super League
11.07.22	Hebei CFFC - Guangzhou Evergrande	0:1 ✺
07.07.22	Shanghai Shenhua - Hebei CFFC	1:0 ✺
04.07.22	Shanghai Port - Hebei CFFC	2:1 ✺
30.06.22	Hebei CFFC - Wuhan	2:1 ✺
26.06.22	Wuhan Three Towns - Hebei CFFC	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LLLWL
- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
11.07.22	Meizhou Hakka - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 ✺
08.07.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	2:1 ✺
04.07.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
30.06.22	Beijing Guoan - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:0 ✺
26.06.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Shenzhen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WWTTT

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