Match Info

CHINA: Super League - Round 17

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Chengdu Phoenix Hill Sports Park (Chengdu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, QQ Sports


	Chengdu Rongcheng		Cangzhou Mighty Lions

	1	X	2
	1.13	9	15	Watch
	1.12	8.75	14
	1.12	8.5	17	Watch
	1.12	9.4	17.5
	1.15	7.97	14.97
	1.08	8.5	17
	1.14	9.3	16.5	Watch
	1.13	8.2	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.18)	8.7 ↑ (7.09)	15.75 ↑ (11.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chengdu Rongcheng
83.3%

Draw
10.8%

Cangzhou Mighty Lions
5.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.9%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chengdu Rongcheng has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Cangzhou Mighty Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Chengdu Rongcheng - Cangzhou Mighty Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Chengdu Rongcheng will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chengdu Rongcheng: 64.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Jian Tao (G) 4. Letschert T. 23. Yang Yiming 39. Gan Chao 2. Hu H. 8. Chow T. 28. Yang Shuai 11. Gurfinkel Y. 10. Romulo 21. Felipe Silva 31. Palacios M.	14. Shao Puliang (C) 17. Wen Da 36. Yang Yun 6. Obileye A. 15. Wang Peng 32. Sun M. 10. Taty Maritu O. 8. Zhao Yingjie 19. Zhukov G. 31. Solomon-Otabor V. 9. Heber
Substitutes
19. Dong Y. 6. Feng Zhuoyi 29. Iminqari M. 35. Liao Rongxiang 26. Liu Tao 22. Li Y. 25. Muzepper Murahmetjan 14. Ran Weifeng (G) 24. Tang Chuang 20. Tang Miao 15. Yan Dinghao 27. Yang Fan	28. Han Rongze (G) 23. Li Hong 20. Liu Xinyu 27. Ma Fuyu 1. Sun Jianxiang (G) 13. Sun Qinhan 5. Yan Zihao 18. Yao X. 7. Zheng Dalun 12. Zhu Yue
Coaches
Seo Jung-Won	Zhao Junzhe

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gan Chao ⚽, Palacios M. (A),
25', Wen Da 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Palacios M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Yang Shuai ↓, Li Y. ↑,
46', Gan Chao ↓, Muzepper Murahmetjan ↑,
49', 3 - 0, Hu H. ⚽, Gurfinkel Y. (A),
61', Wen Da ↓, Zhu Yue ↑,
61', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Yao X. ↑,
62', Solomon-Otabor V. ↓, Zheng Dalun ↑,
73', Heber ↓, Liu Xinyu ↑,
74', Palacios M. ↓, Tang Chuang ↑,
80', Yao X. 🟨,
84', 4 - 0, Romulo ⚽, Felipe Silva (A),
84', Romulo ↓, Tang Miao ↑,
88', Yang Yun ↓, Sun Qinhan ↑,
88', Zhukov G. 🟨,
90', Chow T. ↓, Yan Dinghao ↑,
90+2', Li Y. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 12).

Chengdu Rongcheng is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cangzhou has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Chengdu Rongcheng could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Chengdu Rongcheng is indisputable favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chengdu Rongcheng won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Chengdu Rongcheng won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chengdu Rongcheng
Chinese Super League
26.06.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:5 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.24	Shanghai Mitsubishi Heavy Industries - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:2 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
16.06.24	Shanghai Shenhua - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Chengdu Rongcheng - Qingdao West Coast	7:0 ✺
22.05.24	Shanghai Port - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWTWL
- Cangzhou Mighty Lions
Chinese Super League
26.06.24	Beijing Guoan - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
23.06.24	Nanjing City - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
16.06.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Qingdao Hainiu	0:1 ✺
26.05.24	Shanghai Port - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	4:1 ✺
21.05.24	Nantong Zhiyun - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
10.03.24	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:0
17.07.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:1
21.04.23	Chengdu Rongcheng - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	2:1
04.07.22	Chengdu Rongcheng - Cangzhou Mighty Lions	1:1
12.06.22	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:0

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