Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 41

Date: 15 April 2023, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Kings Langley

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	1.9
	2.69	3.75	2.24
	2.74	3.44	2.32
	3.3	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↓ (3.66)	3.52 ↓ (3.74)	2.1 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
30.6%

Draw
25.9%

Kings Langley
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

24.2%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

23.8%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hednesford Town's performance.

Kings Langley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kings Langley might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hednesford Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kings Langley than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kings Langley could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hednesford Town - Kings Langley Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Hednesford is Relegated to

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Hednesford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kings Langley is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
10.04.23	Hednesford Town - Rushall Olympic	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Ilkeston - Hednesford Town	4:1 ✺
25.03.23	Barwell - Hednesford Town	5:1 ✺
18.03.23	Hednesford Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Royston Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLWL
- Kings Langley
English Southern League Central Division
08.04.23	Nuneaton Town - Kings Langley	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	Kings Langley - Stourbridge	2:3 ✺
27.03.23	Kings Langley - Ilkeston	1:2 ✺
25.03.23	Coalville Town - Kings Langley	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Kings Langley - Basford United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
12.11.22	Kings Langley - Hednesford Town	2:1
08.02.20	Hednesford Town - Kings Langley	1:3
14.09.19	Kings Langley - Hednesford Town	0:2

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