Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 35

Date: 4 March 2023, Saturday


	Royston Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	1.58	3.9	4.33
	1.65	4.18	4.44
	1.59	4.1	4.7
	1.57	4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.75)	4.05 ↑ (3.74)	4.56 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Royston Town
57.3%

Draw
22.6%

Hednesford Town
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.3%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

23.4%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Royston Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Royston Town's performance.

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Royston Town than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Royston Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Royston won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hednesford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hednesford have a series of home games.

In this match Royston is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Royston won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Royston won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Royston Town
English Southern League Central Division
25.02.23	Kings Langley - Royston Town	1:0 ✺
18.02.23	Royston Town - Redditch United	0:0 ✺
11.02.23	Royston Town - Rushall Olympic	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Barwell - Royston Town	2:1 ✺
31.01.23	Royston Town - Nuneaton Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTWLW
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.02.23	Hednesford Town - Ilkeston	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Hednesford Town - Basford United	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.23	Hednesford Town - Mickleover Sports	0:3 ✺
11.02.23	Hednesford Town - Coalville Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
22.10.22	Hednesford Town - Royston Town	3:3
26.03.22	Hednesford Town - Royston Town	0:2
20.11.21	Royston Town - Hednesford Town	2:0
24.10.20	Royston Town - Hednesford Town	2:1
22.02.20	Royston Town - Hednesford Town	1:0
12.10.19	Hednesford Town - Royston Town	4:1

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