Match Info

ENGLAND: SOUTHERN LEAGUE CENTRAL DIVISION - ROUND 36

Date: 18 March 2023, Saturday


	Hednesford Town		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.5
	2.33	3.31	2.66
	2.38	3.44	2.67
	2.35	3.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.5)	3.39 ↓ (3.6)	2.62 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
38.6%

Draw
26.8%

Hitchin Town
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

24.1%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hitchin Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hednesford Town - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Recent matches Hednesford is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hitchin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
04.03.23	Royston Town - Hednesford Town	2:0 ✺
28.02.23	Hednesford Town - Ilkeston	2:2 ✺
25.02.23	Hednesford Town - Basford United	0:0 ✺
18.02.23	Rushden & Diamonds - Hednesford Town	0:1 ✺
14.02.23	Hednesford Town - Mickleover Sports	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LTTWL
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
04.03.23	Hitchin Town - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Leiston - Hitchin Town	0:0 ✺
20.02.23	Hitchin Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Hitchin Town - Nuneaton Town	1:1 ✺
14.02.23	Coalville Town - Hitchin Town	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.10.22	Hitchin Town - Hednesford Town	1:1
29.01.22	Hitchin Town - Hednesford Town	1:2
09.10.21	Hednesford Town - Hitchin Town	2:2
07.12.19	Hednesford Town - Hitchin Town	4:2

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