Match Info

Date: 18 October 2022, Tuesday


	Hednesford Town		Tamworth

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	1.83
	3.3	3.45	1.84
	3.45	3.6	1.85
	3.81	3.73	1.83
	3.8	3.72	1.78
	3.5	3.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.54 ↑ (2.69)	3.6 ↑ (3.44)	1.83 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hednesford Town
25.5%

Draw
25.1%

Tamworth
49.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.9%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

26.8%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hednesford Town's form might have worsened.

Tamworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tamworth's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hednesford Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamworth than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tamworth, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Hednesford Town - Tamworth Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tamworth will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 2.

Recent matches Hednesford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tamworth in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Hednesford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tamworth will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hednesford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Hednesford won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
15.10.22	Hitchin Town - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
11.10.22	Basford United - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Rushall Olympic - Hednesford Town	3:4 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
01.10.22	Hednesford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	5:0 ✺
27.09.22	Hednesford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLWWL
- Tamworth
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.22	Bromsgrove Sporting - Tamworth	0:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Rushden & Diamonds - Tamworth	0:4 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
01.10.22	Tamworth - Barwell	4:1 ✺
27.09.22	Mickleover Sports - Tamworth	2:3 ✺
24.09.22	Tamworth - Kings Langley	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
18.04.22	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	2:3
08.03.22	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	3:3
01.01.20	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	0:3
26.08.19	Tamworth - Hednesford Town	0:1
English FA Cup
08.09.18	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	2:0
Club Friendly
25.07.17	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	0:1
English National League North
09.04.16	Hednesford Town - Tamworth	2:1

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