Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.2	2.75
	2.27	3.5	2.6
	2.34	3.62	2.67
	2.3	3.4	2.74
	2.25	3.3	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.11)	3.4 ↓ (3.45)	2.72 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
39.9%

Draw
26.7%

Hednesford Town
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

26%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

25.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Hitchin Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Hitchin has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hednesford is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hitchin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
10.10.22	Hitchin Town - Leiston	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	0:3 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.09.22	Hitchin Town - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
24.09.22	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	3:0 ✺
13.09.22	Bedford Town - Hitchin Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL
- Hednesford Town
English Southern League Central Division
11.10.22	Basford United - Hednesford Town	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
08.10.22	Rushall Olympic - Hednesford Town	3:4 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
01.10.22	Hednesford Town - Rushden & Diamonds	5:0 ✺
27.09.22	Hednesford Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:3 ✺
24.09.22	Coalville Town - Hednesford Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
29.01.22	Hitchin Town - Hednesford Town	1:2
09.10.21	Hednesford Town - Hitchin Town	2:2
07.12.19	Hednesford Town - Hitchin Town	4:2

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