Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Richmond Park (Dublin)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	St Patricks Athletic		Hegelmann Litauen

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.3	3.8
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	1.8	3.5	4.2
	1.84	3.45	4.13
				Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	1.85	3.48	4.27
	1.63	3.66	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.63)	3.37 ↓ (3.66)	4.03 ↓ (5.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Patricks Athletic
49.3%

Draw
27.6%

Hegelmann Litauen
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

25.4%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

23.5%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Patricks Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St Patricks Athletic's form might have worsened.

Hegelmann Litauen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hegelmann Litauen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.3%	13.8%	6.9%

St Patricks Athletic - Hegelmann Litauen Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: St Patricks Athletic will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): St Patricks Athletic will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Anang J. (G) 23. McLaughlin R. 5. Grivosti T. 4. Redmond J. (C) 11. McClelland J. 19. Baggley B. 6. Lennon J. 14. Kavanagh B. 20. Mulraney J. 9. Melia M. 25. Power S.	1. Sarkauskas V. (G) 9. Upstas K. (C) 6. Armalas V. 4. Djoric N. 7. Duke C. 5. Antanavicius D. 28. Kojic L. 45. Shchedryi A. 35. Kazlauskas D. 11. Njoya A. 15. Leo Ribeiro
Substitutes
3. Breslin A. 15. Carty C. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 8. Forrester C. 30. Kazeem A. 18. Keena A. 10. Leavy K. 49. Molloy S. 1. Rogers D. (G) 21. Sjoberg A. 24. Turner L.	27. Azouazi Y. 31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 77. Freire W. 17. Harouna A. 30. Isaac B. 21. Kausinis E. 25. Keliauskas K. 10. Popescu P. 14. Yusuf R.
Coaches
Kenny S.	Skerla A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Djoric N. 🟨,
65', Armalas V. 🟨,
65', Kazlauskas D. ↓, Popescu P. ↑,
73', Shchedryi A. ↓, Kausinis E. ↑,
73', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Freire W. ↑,
73', Lennon J. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
74', Kavanagh B. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
74', Power S. ↓, Elbouzedi Z. ↑,
81', 1 - 0, Keena A. (Pen),
82', Antanavicius D. ↓, Harouna A. ↑,
82', Njoya A. ↓, Yusuf R. ↑,
83', Mulraney J. ↓, Leavy K. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

St Patricks is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Hegelmann has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

St Patricks will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Patricks Athletic
Irish Premier Division
04.07.25	St Patricks Athletic - Bohemians Dublin	0:0 ✺
27.06.25	Cork City - St Patricks Athletic	0:0 ✺
23.06.25	St Patricks Athletic - Derry City	0:1 ✺
20.06.25	Galway United - St Patricks Athletic	3:1 ✺
16.06.25	St Patricks Athletic - Shelbourne	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TTLLL
- Hegelmann Litauen
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.07.25	Hegelmann Litauen - FA Šiauliai	5:2 ✺
30.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1 ✺
19.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
14.06.25	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWLT

St Patricks Athletic - Hegelmann Litauen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide