Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Raudondvario stadionas (Raudondvario)

Referee: Kristoffersen M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Solidsport TV


	Hegelmann Litauen		St Patricks Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.25
	2.5	3.4	2.6	Watch
	2.54	3.36	2.62
				Watch
	2.9	3.3	2.25
	2.68	3.39	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.44)	3.36 ↓ (3.42)	2.48 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen
35%

Draw
27.6%

St Patricks Athletic
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

27.1%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

26.5%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.6%	23.8%	28.6%

Hegelmann Litauen - St Patricks Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Hegelmann will win (votes: 10 - 50%). St Patricks will win (votes: 6 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hegelmann: 28.1% – 71.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Hegelmann (votes: 2 - 28.6%). St Patricks (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Hegelmann (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Hegelmann (2.13) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH 0 - Hegelmann (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Hegelmann (votes: 6 - 50%). St Patricks (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sarkauskas V. (G) 9. Upstas K. (C) 6. Armalas V. 4. Djoric N. 7. Duke C. 28. Kojic L. 5. Antanavicius D. 39. Kazlauskas D. 15. Leo Ribeiro 45. Shchedryi A. 11. Njoya A.	94. Anang J. (G) 23. McLaughlin R. 5. Grivosti T. 4. Redmond J. (C) 11. McClelland J. 10. Leavy K. 19. Baggley B. 6. Lennon J. 25. Power S. 9. Melia M. 20. Mulraney J.
Substitutes
27. Azouazi Y. 31. Bagdonavicius R. (G) 22. Brazinskas A. (G) 77. Freire W. 17. Harouna A. 30. Isaac B. 21. Kausinis E. 25. Keliauskas K. 10. Popescu P. 14. Yusuf R.	3. Breslin A. 15. Carty C. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 8. Forrester C. 14. Kavanagh B. 30. Kazeem A. 18. Keena A. 49. Molloy S. (G) 1. Rogers D. (G) 21. Sjoberg A. 24. Turner L.
Coaches
Skerla A.	Kenny S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Melia M. ⚽,
45', Kojic L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mulraney J. ↓, Elbouzedi Z. ↑,
51', Kazlauskas D. 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Leavy K. ⚽, Melia M. (A),
63', Njoya A. ↓, Yusuf R. ↑,
63', Shchedryi A. ↓, Popescu P. ↑,
67', Upstas K. 🟨,
70', Antanavicius D. ↓, Harouna A. ↑,
70', Kazlauskas D. ↓, Kausinis E. ↑,
72', Melia M. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
79', Power S. ↓, Breslin A. ↑,
79', McClelland J. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
82', Kausinis E. 🟨,
84', Leo Ribeiro ↓, Azouazi Y. ↑,
88', Leavy K. ↓, Kazeem A. ↑,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-1. 2nd leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

St Patricks could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Hegelmann won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	St Patricks Athletic - Hegelmann Litauen	1:0 ✺
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
05.07.25	Hegelmann Litauen - FA Šiauliai	5:2 ✺
30.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Sūduva Marijampolė	0:2 ✺
24.06.25	Žalgiris - Hegelmann Litauen	0:1 ✺
19.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen - Kauno Žalgiris	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- St Patricks Athletic
UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	St Patricks Athletic - Hegelmann Litauen	1:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
04.07.25	St Patricks Athletic - Bohemians Dublin	0:0 ✺
27.06.25	Cork City - St Patricks Athletic	0:0 ✺
23.06.25	St Patricks Athletic - Derry City	0:1 ✺
20.06.25	Galway United - St Patricks Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
10.07.25	St Patricks Athletic - Hegelmann Litauen	1:0

Hegelmann Litauen - St Patricks Athletic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide