Match Info

I Lyga - Round 13

Date: 12 June 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Lithuania	LNK


	Hegelmann Litauen 2		Babrungas Plungė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	9.25	5.50	1.22
	11.00	6.40	1.17
	9.10	5.75	1.23
	9.71	5.99	1.22	Watch
	10.00	4.80	1.22
	7.29	5.21	1.33
	5.6	4.25	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.85 ↑ (5.87)	5.41 ↑ (4.38)	1.26 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hegelmann Litauen 2
10.4%

Draw
16.9%

Babrungas Plungė
72.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

20.8%

63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.9%

20%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hegelmann Litauen 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hegelmann Litauen 2's form might have worsened.

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Babrungas Plungė's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hegelmann Litauen 2 than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Babrungas Plungė, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: )).

Hegelmann 2 is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Babrungas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Babrungas is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Babrungas will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Hegelmann 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.5:3).

Including home matches between the teams, Hegelmann 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43:11	32	61
14	Hegelmann Litauen 2	25	6	1	18	26:59	-33	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hegelmann Litauen 2
Lithuanian Division 2
30.05.26	Tauras Tauragė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	6:1 ✺
22.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	2:3 ✺
15.05.26	Dainava Alytus - Hegelmann Litauen 2	3:2 ✺
11.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Transinvest 2	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	FA Šiauliai B - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
29.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Jonava - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
15.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	3:0 ✺
09.05.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
01.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
25.10.25	Babrungas Plungė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	4:1
17.06.25	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	4:2
26.10.24	Babrungas Plungė - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:1
08.06.24	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:4

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