Match Info

I Lyga - Round 11

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday

Location: Kedainiai Stadium (Kedainiai)


	Nevėžis		Jonava

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.45	2.34
	2.57	3.4	2.41
	2.54	3.47	2.47	Watch
	2.53	3.32	2.42
	2.42	3.4	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.64)	3.41 ↓ (3.57)	2.42 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nevėžis
35.9%

Draw
26.6%

Jonava
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

25.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

24.8%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Jonava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Nevėžis - Jonava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Granauskas R. (G) 13. Berednikovas L. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 14. Mezinis G. 8. Mikuckis R. 11. Mohil Y. 91. Petkevicius M. 99. Rukuiza K. 10. Toklikishvili N. 18. Tymoshenko I. 35. Zuperka R. A.	1. Sivickas V. (G) 67. Benevicius N. 17. Dedura M. 44. Dombrauskis T. (C) 99. Ganusauskas M. 19. Kabosius A. 11. Mickevicius E. 21. Nikonovas G. 6. Olsauskas K. 5. Rackus A. 9. Raginis A.
Substitutes
5. Avizovas U. 7. Ferraz V. 25. Gaizutis D. 28. Lipnevicius R. 3. Martinkus N. 2. Mockus E. 1. Urbonas E. (G)	27. Barila M. 16. Matuzas M. (G) 23. Rocys A. 42. Saliunas M. 2. Sungaila V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
69', 🟨,
70', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
79', 🟥,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Recent form of Nevėžis has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jonava is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nevėžis won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nevėžis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:0. (average 3.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
24.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Nevėžis	2:1 ✺
17.05.25	Nevėžis - Neptūnas	0:4 ✺
09.05.25	Babrungas Plungė - Nevėžis	3:2 ✺
02.05.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Nevėžis	1:3 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
29.04.25	Nevėžis - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLWL
- FK Jonava
Lithuanian Division 2
24.05.25	Jonava - FA Šiauliai B	3:1 ✺
17.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Jonava	2:0 ✺
09.05.25	Jonava - Panevėžys 2	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Neptūnas - Jonava	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Jonava - Hegelmann Litauen 2	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
04.11.23	Jonava - Nevėžis	0:0
23.06.23	Nevėžis - Jonava	5:0
31.10.20	Nevėžis - Jonava	2:0
26.06.20	Jonava - Nevėžis	1:0
03.07.19	Jonava - Nevėžis	5:2

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