The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Heidenheim 51.9%
Draw 25.4%
Arminia Bielefeld 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.9%
27.2%
30.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.8%
27.3%
31%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heidenheim's performance.
Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arminia Bielefeld might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heidenheim that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arminia Bielefeld could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.9%
14.6%
12.5%
Heidenheim - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions
Users Predictions:
48 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 35 - 72.9%). Arminia will win (votes: 6 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 60.3% – 85.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Heidenheim has the most likely position - 3 (9.1%), has project points - 53, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
Arminia has the most likely position - 9 (7.55%), has project points - 47, has currently - 0, has a small chance of relegated (7%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality37, importance33, match rating35. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 1.
Heidenheim is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Arminia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Heidenheim have a series of guest games.
Heidenheim will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Heidenheim to win the game is with odds 2.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-15.
Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11-7.
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