Match Info

GERMANY: DFB POKAL - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Voyo
Germany	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Eleven Sports 4
Serbia	Arena Sport


	Arminia Bielefeld		Hamburger SV

	1	X	2
	5.5	4.33	1.57	Watch
	5	4.6	1.55
	5	4.75	1.58	Watch
	4.09	4	1.65
	5.34	4.63	1.58
	5	4.6	1.44
	5.1	4.7	1.55	Watch
	5	4.6	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↑ (4.42)	4.53 ↑ (3.93)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
18.8%

Draw
20.8%

Hamburger SV
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

23.6%

55.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

24.4%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Hamburger SV has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hamburger SV than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	10%	70%

Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 4 - 20%). Hamburg will win (votes: 14 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hamburg: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. (C) 23. Schneider L. 19. Grosser M. 4. Oppie L. 6. Ozkan C. 10. Boujellab N. 8. Schreck S. 7. Shipnoski N. 39. Wintzheimer M. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J.	19. Raab M. (G) 2. Mikelbrencis W. 35. Ambrosius S. 5. Hadzikadunic D. 28. Muheim M. (C) 10. Pherai I. 6. Poreba L. 8. Benes L. 11. Konigsdorffer R. 20. Nemeth A. 21. Oztunali L.
Substitutes
17. Biankadi M. 20. Geerkens T. 27. Gohlke G. 9. Klos F. 25. Mizuta K. 22. Oppermann L. (G) 34. Putaro L. 38. Worl M. 11. Yildirim A.	9. Glatzel R. 1. Heuer Fernandes D. (G) 3. Heyer M. 18. Jatta B. 46. Krahn E. 23. Meffert J. 47. Oliveira N. 13. Ramos G. 99. Stange O.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Walter T.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 1.

Arminia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hamburg is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Hamburg is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Arminia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
28.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Ingolstadt	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Duisburg - Arminia Bielefeld	0:1 ✺
14.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Waldhof Mannheim	3:1 ✺
07.10.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Borussia Dortmund II	2:2 ✺
03.10.23	Verl - Arminia Bielefeld	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWTL
- Hamburger SV
German 2 Bundesliga
28.10.23	Kaiserslautern - Hamburger SV	3:3 ✺
21.10.23	Hamburger SV - Greuther Fürth	2:0 ✺
07.10.23	Wehen Wiesbaden - Hamburger SV	1:1 ✺
29.09.23	Hamburger SV - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:0 ✺
22.09.23	Osnabrück - Hamburger SV	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
19.02.23	Hamburger SV - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1
13.08.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV	0:2
24.05.20	Hamburger SV - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0
21.10.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV	1:1
02.02.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV	2:0
27.08.18	Hamburger SV - Arminia Bielefeld	3:0
Club Friendly
18.07.15	Arminia Bielefeld - Hamburger SV	2:0

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