Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Olympia (Helsingborg)

Referee: Wolf V. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Discovery+
Sweden	Discovery+


	Helsingborg		Sirius

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.4	2.62	Watch
	2.65	3.3	2.55
	2.6	3.4	2.7
	2.6	3.25	2.6
	2.72	3.47	2.7
	2.55	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.57	3.4	2.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↓ (2.63)	3.35 ↑ (3.32)	2.62 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsingborg
35.9%

Draw
28.2%

Sirius
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

28%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

28%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsingborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Sirius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsingborg than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	38.5%	30.8%

Helsingborg - Sirius Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Helsingborg will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Sirius will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.8% – 57.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Superettan and 9).

Helsingborg has the most likely position - 15 (30.82%), has project points - 22, has currently - 10, has a good chance of relegated (69%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sirius has the most likely position - 10 (24.78%), has project points - 41, has currently - 24, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 16, small importance 23, small match rating 20. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sirius could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Helsingborg: Faltsetas A. (Injury) Kaied A. (Injury) Olsson D. (Injury) Weberg C. (Injury) van den Hurk A. (Injury)

There will not play in Sirius: Mathisen M. (Yellow Cards) Murbeck A. (Injury) Nwadike P. (Knee Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Helsingborg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Helsingborg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsingborg IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
08.08.22	Häcken - Helsingborg	5:0 ✺
24.07.22	Helsingborg - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
18.07.22	Varbergs BoIS - Helsingborg	0:0 ✺
11.07.22	Helsingborg - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
02.07.22	Helsingborg - Kalmar	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTLT
- IK Sirius
Swedish Allsvenskan
07.08.22	Sirius - Malmö	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	Sirius - Mjällby	0:1 ✺
23.07.22	Malmö - Sirius	3:1 ✺
17.07.22	Sirius - Degerfors	2:0 ✺
10.07.22	Kalmar - Sirius	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
17.04.22	Sirius - Helsingborg	1:0
17.08.20	Helsingborg - Sirius	1:2
13.08.20	Sirius - Helsingborg	3:1
05.10.19	Sirius - Helsingborg	2:1
15.07.19	Helsingborg - Sirius	1:0

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