The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kalmar 35.9%
Draw 27.8%
Sirius 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.2%
28%
28.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
27.5%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kalmar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kalmar's form might have worsened.
Sirius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sirius's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kalmar than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kalmar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sirius than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sirius, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
25%
16.7%
Kalmar - Sirius Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Kalmar will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Sirius will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kalmar: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Brolin S. (G) 3. Gersbach A. 39. Saetra L. 6. Sjostedt R. 26. Motaraghebjafarpour A. 5. Hallberg M. 23. R. Gojani 29. Romario 20. Trenskow J. 10. Skrabb S. (C) 11. Ring J.
1. Mitov Nilsson D. (G) 13. Voelkerling J. 4. Castegren H. 31. Jeng M. 21. Widgren D. 8. Stensson D. (C) 14. Walta L. 19. Milleskog N. 10. Heier M. 7. Persson J. 9. Salech Y.
Substitutes
16. Andersson W. 24. Andersson W. 18. Arvidsson G. 27. Davoudi-Kia A. 12. Isa L. 9. Islamovic D. 25. Jansson R. 30. Kindberg J. (G) 21. Magashy A.
22. Alsanati A. 20. Ekstrom V. 17. Lindberg M. 36. Ljungberg A. 6. Martin M. 2. Nwadike P. 16. Sjogrell H. 30. Tannander J. (G) 18. Vikman A.
Coaches
Jensen H.
Mattiasson C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Saetra L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Widgren D. 🟨,
62', Milleskog N. ↓, Sjogrell H. ↑,
62', Persson J. ↓, Ljungberg A. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Trenskow J. ⚽,
77', Ring J. ↓, Magashy A. ↑,
80', Stensson D. ↓, Lindberg M. ↑,
80', Heier M. ↓, Alsanati A. ↑,
83', Skrabb S. ↓, Islamovic D. ↑,
83', Gersbach A. ↓, Jansson R. ↑,
85', 1 - 1, Salech Y. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Salech Y. ⚽,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 1.
Kalmar is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sirius is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Kalmar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Sirius have a series of home games.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Sirius: Nwadike P.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Kalmar: Gustafsson C.
(Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Kalmar won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-22.
Including matches at home between the teams Kalmar won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 14-9.