Match Info

Date: 5 February 2022, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Billericay Town

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	3.75
	1.79	3.45	3.8
	1.74	3.8	3.8
	1.72	3.76	4.56
	1.78	3.5	4
	1.69	3.88	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.76)	3.67 ↓ (3.73)	4.04 ↑ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
52.4%

Draw
24.9%

Billericay Town
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

24.5%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

15.8%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Billericay Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hemel Hempstead Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Billericay Town than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Billericay Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hemel Hempstead Town - Billericay Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Hemel Hempstead is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
29.01.22	Eastbourne Borough - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
25.01.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Bath City	3:1 ✺
08.01.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWTWL
- Billericay Town
English National League South
29.01.22	Billericay Town - Dorking Wanderers	0:5 ✺
25.01.22	Slough Town - Billericay Town	1:1 ✺
22.01.22	Billericay Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:1 ✺
15.01.22	Oxford City - Billericay Town	1:2 ✺
08.01.22	Billericay Town - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.09.21	Billericay Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:3
03.11.20	Hemel Hempstead Town - Billericay Town	1:4
26.08.19	Hemel Hempstead Town - Billericay Town	3:0
20.04.19	Billericay Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
08.09.18	Hemel Hempstead Town - Billericay Town	0:2

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