Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 18

Date: 8 November 2022, Tuesday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Hungerford Town

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.23	3.35	2.85
	2.19	3.45	3.02
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.19	3.38	2.93
	2.23	3.35	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.07)	3.3 ↑ (3.1)	2.91 ↓ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
41.2%

Draw
27.5%

Hungerford Town
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

29%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Hungerford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hungerford Town than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hungerford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	10%	0%

Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Hemel Hempstead Town will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 4.

Hemel Hempstead is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hungerford has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Hungerford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Hemel Hempstead will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 20-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
05.11.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Ebbsfleet United	1:1 ✺
25.10.22	Chippenham Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Chelmsford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Cheshunt	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWLL
- Hungerford Town
English National League South
05.11.22	Hungerford Town - Worthing	0:0 ✺
01.11.22	Oxford City - Hungerford Town	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Welling United - Hungerford Town	1:0 ✺
25.10.22	Hungerford Town - Cheshunt	1:2 ✺
22.10.22	Dulwich Hamlet - Hungerford Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.01.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	1:0
09.11.21	Hungerford Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1
12.12.20	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	0:1
03.08.19	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	4:1
26.01.19	Hungerford Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:3
14.08.18	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	0:0
13.01.18	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hungerford Town	1:2

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