Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 14

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Braintree Town

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.8
	2.35	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.36	3.4	2.94
	2.36	3.34	2.94
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.33	3.38	2.81
	2.26	3.25	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.02)	3.34 ↓ (3.5)	2.81 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
39.4%

Draw
27.7%

Braintree Town
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

26.2%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

26%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hemel Hempstead Town's form might have worsened.

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 1.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Recently Hemel Hempstead have a series of guest games.

Recently Braintree have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-21.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
21.10.23	Dover Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Woking - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Woking	0:0 ✺
English National League South
07.10.23	Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Gorleston - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLTTW
- Braintree Town
English National League South
21.10.23	Braintree Town - Weston-super-Mare	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Chesham United - Braintree Town	3:1 ET ✺
14.10.23	Braintree Town - Chesham United	0:0 ✺
English National League South
07.10.23	Braintree Town - Bath City	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
14.03.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	1:1
16.08.22	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
30.04.22	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
21.08.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	0:3
31.10.20	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:4
15.02.20	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0
09.11.19	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	0:3

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