Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 38

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Oxford City

	1	X	2
	3.8	3	1.87
	3.4	3.3	1.95
	4.01	3.23	1.93
	2.62	3.1	2.5
	3.98	3.3	1.92
	3.7	3.2	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.6)	3.19 ↓ (3.2)	2.02 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
25.6%

Draw
28.8%

Oxford City
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

29.3%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hemel Hempstead Town's form might have worsened.

Oxford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oxford City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oxford City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oxford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Hemel Hempstead Town - Oxford City Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hemel Hempstead will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Oxford City will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Oxford City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Oxford City will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
07.03.23	Bath City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0 ✺
28.02.23	Welling United - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:1 ✺
25.02.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
21.02.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chippenham Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LTWWT
- Oxford City
English National League South
07.03.23	Oxford City - Braintree Town	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Oxford City - Farnborough	1:2 ✺
25.02.23	Dartford - Oxford City	0:0 ✺
21.02.23	Taunton Town - Oxford City	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Oxford City - Worthing	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.11.22	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2
12.02.22	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0
09.10.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Oxford City	0:4
19.01.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Oxford City	3:5
24.08.19	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
06.04.19	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1
English FA Cup
23.10.18	Oxford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	5:0

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