Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 46

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.2	2.35
	2.7	3.3	2.45
	2.76	3.23	2.56
	2.76	3.23	2.56
	2.66	3.35	2.46
	2.65	3.25	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.68)	3.26 ↑ (3.26)	2.47 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
34.3%

Draw
28.3%

Hemel Hempstead Town
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

28.3%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

28.1%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Taunton Town - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Hemel Hempstead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Taunton won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Taunton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Last Results with these Odds

Hemel Hempstead Town - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.2%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English National League South
18.04.24	Taunton Town - Weston-super-Mare	0:1 ✺
16.04.24	Taunton Town - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Farnborough - Taunton Town	0:1 ✺
11.04.24	Taunton Town - Slough Town	0:4 ✺
09.04.24	Braintree Town - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWLT
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
13.04.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
04.04.24	Truro City - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2 ✺
01.04.24	Braintree Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
29.03.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Aveley	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
11.11.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Taunton Town	1:0
18.03.23	Taunton Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
26.11.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Taunton Town	1:1
English FA Cup
18.10.16	Hemel Hempstead Town - Taunton Town	0:1
15.10.16	Taunton Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0

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