Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 37

Date: 2 March 2024, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Havant & Waterlooville

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.4	2.6
	2.35	3.6	2.65
	2.34	3.55	2.59
	2.44	3.71	2.65
	2.35	3.52	2.67
	2.31	3.5	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.64 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
39.2%

Draw
25.9%

Havant & Waterlooville
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

26.4%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

25.8%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hemel Hempstead Town's form might have worsened.

Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Havant & Waterlooville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hemel Hempstead Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Havant & Waterlooville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hemel Hempstead Town - Havant & Waterlooville Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 1.

Hemel Hempstead has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Havant is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hemel Hempstead could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
20.02.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	1:4 ✺
17.02.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
10.02.24	Maidstone United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1 ✺
03.02.24	Weymouth - Hemel Hempstead Town	4:3 ✺
27.01.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Havant & Waterlooville
English National League South
27.02.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
24.02.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Bath City	1:1 ✺
20.02.24	Eastbourne Borough - Havant & Waterlooville	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Yeovil Town - Havant & Waterlooville	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Havant & Waterlooville - Chelmsford City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
13.12.23	Havant & Waterlooville - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0
25.02.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0
05.11.22	Havant & Waterlooville - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0
02.05.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Havant & Waterlooville	0:0
28.12.21	Havant & Waterlooville - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0
09.02.21	Hemel Hempstead Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0
02.12.20	Havant & Waterlooville - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:3

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