Match Info

National League South - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Gallagher Stadium (Maidstone)


	Maidstone United		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.15	3.3
	2.16	3.2	3.44
	2.14	3.23	3.41	Watch
	2.15	3	3.3
	2.1	3.06	3.37
	2.14	3.1	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.98)	3.12 ↓ (3.31)	3.36 ↓ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Maidstone United
43.2%

Draw
29.5%

Hemel Hempstead Town
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

28%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

27%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maidstone United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Maidstone United - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Maidstone United will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Matthews Lewis M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Hemel Hempstead may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Maidstone has had a series of away games.

Maidstone will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Maidstone won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 20:8. (average 1.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Maidstone won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 2.2:1).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidstone: 9.77% Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maidstone	10	6	1	3	18:11	7	19
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maidstone United
English National League South
17.01.26	Torquay United - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
30.12.25	Hornchurch - Maidstone United	1:2 ✺
26.12.25	Maidstone United - Dover Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Yeovil Town - Maidstone United	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWTL
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
17.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Slough Town	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Dover Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
03.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dagenham & Redbridge	1:0 ✺
30.12.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Enfield Town	3:0 ✺
26.12.25	Chesham United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
09.08.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidstone United	1:1
15.02.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidstone United	0:0
26.10.24	Maidstone United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:0
10.02.24	Maidstone United - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1
26.08.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidstone United	1:1
23.04.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Maidstone United	0:4
14.08.21	Maidstone United - Hemel Hempstead Town	4:2

Upcoming Matches