Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - QUALIFICATION - FINAL

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Woking

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	1.87
	3.6	3.75	1.85
	3.43	3.77	1.89
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	3.52	3.72	1.9	Watch
	3.5	3.8	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.37 ↑ (3.02)	3.67 ↑ (3.5)	1.93 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
27.3%

Draw
25%

Woking
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.6%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.7%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Woking has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Woking's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Woking than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Hemel Hempstead Town - Woking Predictions

Users Predictions: Woking will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Replayed if draw.

Hemel Hempstead is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Woking is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Woking could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Hemel Hempstead have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Hemel Hempstead to win the game is with odds 2.9.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
07.10.23	Tonbridge Angels - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:3 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Gorleston - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:2 ✺
English National League South
23.09.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Torquay United	3:2 ✺
09.09.23	Worthing - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:1 ✺
04.09.23	Chelmsford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 TWWTW
- Woking
English National League
07.10.23	Woking - Southend United	0:2 ✺
03.10.23	Woking - Halifax Town	1:2 ✺
30.09.23	Fylde - Woking	0:2 ✺
26.09.23	Wealdstone - Woking	1:0 ✺
23.09.23	Woking - York City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.02.19	Woking - Hemel Hempstead Town	3:1
18.08.18	Hemel Hempstead Town - Woking	0:2

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