Match Info

National League South - Round 35

Date: 23 February 2026, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Chelmsford City		Hemel Hempstead Town

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.15	3.25	3.1
	2.03	3.61	3.33	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.25
	2.02	3.28	3.35
	2.2	3.15	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (2.04)	3.28 ↓ (3.47)	3.18 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmsford City
43.6%

Draw
27.8%

Hemel Hempstead Town
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

26.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

25.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Hemel Hempstead Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Chelmsford City - Hemel Hempstead Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Chelmsford (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chelmsford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+6', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 1.

Chelmsford has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hemel Hempstead is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hemel Hempstead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Chelmsford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chelmsford won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:34. (average 1.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Chelmsford won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.7:1.7).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Chelmsford: 5.21% Hemel Hempstead: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Hemel Hempstead	10	3	4	3	10:10	0	13
16	Chelmsford	9	1	8	0	9:8	1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chelmsford City
English National League South
21.02.26	Chelmsford City - Salisbury	2:2 ✺
16.02.26	Chelmsford City - Maidstone United	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Chelmsford City	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Slough Town - Chelmsford City	5:0 ✺
26.01.26	Chelmsford City - Tonbridge Angels	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWLW
- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
21.02.26	Horsham - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Worthing	1:0 ✺
10.02.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:3 ✺
03.02.26	Ebbsfleet United - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
31.01.26	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dover Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
25.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	2:1
English FA Trophy
15.11.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	1:0 penalties
English National League South
10.02.25	Chelmsford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0
21.10.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	2:2
20.02.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	1:4
04.09.23	Chelmsford City - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
22.04.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Chelmsford City	0:0

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