Match Info

Super League - Round 19

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium (Zhengzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Henan Songshan Longmen		Qingdao Hainiu

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.50	15.00	Watch
	1.20	6.50	10.00
	1.21	6.40	11.00	Watch
	1.22	7.23	11.85
	1.25	5.82	10.53	Watch
	1.19	7.15	11.00
	1.18	7.50	15.00	Watch
	1.18	7.40	13.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.58)	6.94 ↑ (4.03)	12.17 ↑ (5.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henan Songshan Longmen
78.7%

Draw
13.6%

Qingdao Hainiu
7.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

23.2%

17.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

21.6%

18.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henan Songshan Longmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Henan Songshan Longmen's performance.

Qingdao Hainiu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Qingdao Hainiu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Henan Songshan Longmen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (+11.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qingdao Hainiu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao Hainiu Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Henan Jianye will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Wang Guoming (G) 4. Shinar Yeljan 2. Iago Maidana 23. Lucas Maia 22. Huang Ruifeng 15. Haliq Ablahan 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 7. Zhong Yihao 10. Bruno Nazario 8. Pedro Maranhao 9. Gustavo	28. Mu Pengfei (C) 16. Li Hailong 14. Sun Zheng'ao 3. Liu Junshuai 29. Li Suda 37. Wei Zixian 31. Luo Senwen 6. Edjouma M. 22. Yang Cong 10. Strandberg C. 9. Liu Xinyu
Substitutes
13. Abudulam A. 28. Du Changjie 30. Fan Xulin 3. Gerbig O. 5. Liu Jiahui 27. Liu Yixin 11. Muhmet N. 39. Osman Ekber 33. Shi Chenglong (G) 16. Yang Kuo 24. Yin Congyao 29. Zheng Dalun	43. Jappar M. (G) 27. Kuang Zhaolei 1. Liu Jun (G) 24. Ngan Cheuk-Pan 23. Song Long 17. Wang Qiao 47. Zheng Cuanhui
Coaches
Ramos D.	Ristic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Iago Maidana ⚽, Bruno Nazario (A),
24', 2 - 0, Bruno Nazario ⚽, Haliq Ablahan (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 3 - 0, Gustavo ⚽,
56', Pedro Maranhao 🟨,
60', Liu Junshuai ↓, Song Long ↑,
60', Li Hailong ↓, Ngan Cheuk-Pan ↑,
60', 4 - 0, Bruno Nazario (Penalty Awarded),
64', Haliq Ablahan ↓, Abudulam A. ↑,
64', Zhong Yihao ↓, Osman Ekber ↑,
67', 4 - 1, Edjouma M. ⚽, Luo Senwen (A),
70', 5 - 1, Gustavo ⚽, Pedro Maranhao (A),
72', Edjouma M. ↓, Zheng Cuanhui ↑,
79', Bruno Nazario ↓, Fan Xulin ↑,
79', Huang Ruifeng ↓, Muhmet N. ↑,
80', Sun Zheng'ao ↓, Wang Qiao ↑,
80', Yang Cong ↓, Kuang Zhaolei ↑,
86', Lucas Maia ↓, Gerbig O. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Qingdao Hainiu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Henan Jianye is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Andjelkovic N. (Yellow Cards) El Messaoudi A. (Injury) Jin Yangyang (Yellow Cards) Jin Yonghao (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Qingdao Hainiu: Lin Chuangyi (Injury) Song Wenjie (Injury) Tufegdzic L. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Henan Jianye won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Henan Jianye won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Henan Songshan Longmen	26	8	9	9	33:35	-2	27
16	Qingdao Hainiu	26	6	3	17	34:53	-19	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
03.07.26	Yunnan Yukun - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shanghai Port	1:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
19.06.26	Jiangxi Lushan - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:2 ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Henan Songshan Longmen - Zhejiang Professional	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWLW
- Qingdao Hainiu
Chinese Super League
14.07.26	Zhejiang Professional - Qingdao Hainiu	3:2 ✺
05.07.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Chengdu Rongcheng	1:1 ✺
26.06.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun	4:2 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
20.06.26	Wuxi Wugou - Qingdao Hainiu	2:3 penalties ✺
Chinese Super League
30.05.26	Shenzhen Peng City - Qingdao Hainiu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
04.04.26	Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0
29.08.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:1
20.04.25	Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao Hainiu	3:1
10.08.24	Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:2
21.04.24	Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao Hainiu	1:0
17.07.23	Qingdao Hainiu - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:0
21.04.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Qingdao Hainiu	0:0

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