Match Info

Date: 9 September 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Erve Asito (Almelo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Nagtegaal M. (Ned)


	Heracles Almelo		VVV-Venlo

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	7
	1.4	4.8	6.25
	1.4	4.6	7
	1.39	4.7	6.2
	1.44	5.06	7.16
	1.38	4.33	7
	1.41	4.9	6.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.7)	4.77 ↑ (3.6)	6.77 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heracles Almelo
66.5%

Draw
19.6%

VVV-Venlo
13.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

27.9%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heracles Almelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Heracles Almelo's performance.

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and VVV-Venlo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heracles Almelo than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Heracles Almelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VVV-Venlo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.4%	15.8%	36.8%

Heracles Almelo - VVV Venlo Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Heracles will win (votes: 9 - 47.4%). Venlo will win (votes: 7 - 36.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heracles: 24.9% – 69.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Heracles won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match Heracles is the unquestionable favorite.

There are questionable in Heracles: Polley R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Venlo: Dirks S. (Ankle Injury)

Last 11 head-to-head matches Heracles won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Heracles won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
05.09.22	Jong Ajax - Heracles Almelo	4:0 ✺
29.08.22	Heracles Almelo - MVV Maastricht	2:2 ✺
22.08.22	Jong PSV - Heracles Almelo	0:3 ✺
15.08.22	Jong Utrecht - Heracles Almelo	0:3 ✺
05.08.22	Heracles Almelo - ADO Den Haag	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LTWWW
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.09.22	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	2:1 ✺
26.08.22	FC Oss - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
21.08.22	VVV-Venlo - Zwolle	0:4 ✺
12.08.22	De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
05.08.22	VVV-Venlo - Almere City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
01.05.21	Heracles Almelo - VVV-Venlo	4:0
07.11.20	VVV-Venlo - Heracles Almelo	3:2
14.02.20	VVV-Venlo - Heracles Almelo	1:0
09.11.19	Heracles Almelo - VVV-Venlo	6:1
22.02.19	VVV-Venlo - Heracles Almelo	0:1
02.12.18	Heracles Almelo - VVV-Venlo	4:1
24.12.17	VVV-Venlo - Heracles Almelo	3:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Heracles Almelo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
02.11.26	Heracles Almelo - FC Oss	✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
29.10.26	De Treffers - Heracles Almelo	✺
- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
31.10.26	MVV Maastricht - VVV-Venlo	✺
Dutch KNVB Beker
28.10.26	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	✺

Heracles Almelo - VVV-Venlo