Match Info

Date: 21 August 2022, Sunday

Location: Covebo Stadion - De Koel (Venlo)

Referee: Hensgens R. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN


	VVV-Venlo		Zwolle

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.25	3.5	2.05
	3.5	3.55	1.97
	3.2	3.45	2.05
	3.41	3.75	2.14
	3.3	3.4	2
	3.36	3.72	2.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.93)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	2.05 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
28%

Draw
26.3%

Zwolle
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.8%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

29.2%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Zwolle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zwolle than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	35.3%	29.4%

VVV Venlo - Zwolle Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Venlo will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Zwolle will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venlo: 12.6% – 58%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venlo won 2.

Recent matches Venlo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zwolle is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Venlo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Zwolle will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Venlo won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Venlo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.08.22	De Graafschap - VVV-Venlo	1:2 ✺
05.08.22	VVV-Venlo - Almere City	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.22	VVV-Venlo - Atromitos Athens	1:2 ✺
22.07.22	VVV-Venlo - Vitesse	2:2 ✺
19.07.22	VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25 WWLTL
- PEC Zwolle
Dutch Eerste Divisie
12.08.22	Telstar - Zwolle	0:5 ✺
07.08.22	Zwolle - De Graafschap	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.22	Zwolle - Dordrecht	2:1 ✺
22.07.22	Zwolle - Cambuur	3:1 ✺
15.07.22	Zwolle - Heerenveen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eredivisie
21.03.21	Zwolle - VVV-Venlo	2:1
28.11.20	VVV-Venlo - Zwolle	2:2
14.12.19	VVV-Venlo - Zwolle	1:2
12.05.19	Zwolle - VVV-Venlo	2:4
21.12.18	VVV-Venlo - Zwolle	2:0
04.03.18	Zwolle - VVV-Venlo	1:1
24.09.17	VVV-Venlo - Zwolle	1:1

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