Match Info

Eerste Divisie - Round 12

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Covebo Stadion - De Koel (Venlo)

Referee: Boel N. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 4


	VVV-Venlo		Jong Utrecht

	1	X	2
	1.71	4.1	4	Watch
	1.7	4.15	4.15
	1.75	4.26	4.38
	1.56	4.47	4.56	Watch
	1.73	4.09	4.09	Watch
	1.6	4.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.59)	4.24 ↓ (4.4)	4.26 ↓ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVV-Venlo
55.9%

Draw
22.1%

Jong Utrecht
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.6%

18.7%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVV-Venlo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	11.8%	0%

VVV Venlo - Jong Utrecht Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: VVV-Venlo will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Schoonderwaldt Y. (G) 31. Davis M. 33. Blancquart G. (C) 3. Verheij L. 5. de Blok L. 20. Eijgenraam J. 25. Foor N. 10. Triep J. 27. Kromah L. 11. Ait Mouhou N. 9. Zandbergen D.	1. Eppink M. (G) 2. Ghaddari M. 3. Viereck N. 5. Plantinga V. 6. van Ommeren J. 8. Agougil O. 10. Dundas N. 9. Ohio N. 7. Jensen M. 14. Mukeh J. (C) 11. Demircan E.
Substitutes
46. De Graef J. 1. Doornbusch T. (G) 47. Hendrix D. 45. Janssen T. 6. Kluskens J. 2. Mokono S. 22. Taylan Z. (G) 8. van Oorschot D. 18. van Zijl B. 37. van Zutphen D. 7. Wehmeyer L.	12. den Boggende T. 19. Ebite S. 21. Edhart L. 32. Eversen J. (G) 16. Jenner I. . Kloosterboer P. . Oladipo L. (G) 22. van den Boogaard B. . van der Wegen S. 18. van Riel J.
Coaches
Uneken P.	Otten M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Davis M. 🟨,
8', 0 - 1, Ohio N. (Pen),
12', van Ommeren J. 🟨,
16', Agougil O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zandbergen D. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
46', van Ommeren J. ↓, Jenner I. ↑,
57', Eijgenraam J. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
71', Foor N. ↓, van Oorschot D. ↑,
72', Davis M. ↓, Mokono S. ↑,
72', Ohio N. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
72', Dundas N. ↓, van Riel J. ↑,
78', Jensen M. ↓, Kloosterboer P. ↑,
86', Demircan E. ↓, Edhart L. ↑,
88', Triep J. ↓, Wehmeyer L. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 2.

Venlo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Jong Utrecht is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Venlo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Venlo: Ait Mouhou N. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Venlo won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Venlo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 2.4:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVV-Venlo
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.10.25	VVV-Venlo - Emmen	4:0 ✺
03.10.25	Dordrecht - VVV-Venlo	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	VVV-Venlo - Den Bosch	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Jong Ajax - VVV-Venlo	2:4 ✺
21.09.25	VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWW
- Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie
17.10.25	Jong Utrecht - MVV Maastricht	3:1 ✺
03.10.25	Vitesse - Jong Utrecht	2:0 ✺
30.09.25	Jong Utrecht - Jong AZ Alkmaar	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Almere City - Jong Utrecht	4:0 ✺
22.09.25	Jong Utrecht - Cambuur	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Eerste Divisie
01.04.25	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	0:0
13.09.24	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	3:2
15.01.24	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	0:0
25.08.23	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	4:1
19.05.23	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	1:1
02.09.22	VVV-Venlo - Jong Utrecht	2:1
06.05.22	Jong Utrecht - VVV-Venlo	2:3

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