Match Info
Catarinense 2 - Round 18Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday
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Nação |
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Hercílio Luz |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
4.10 |
3.40 |
1.72 |
|
 |
5.60 |
4.00 |
1.42 |
|
 |
4.08 |
3.36 |
1.71 |
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 |
4.25 |
3.52 |
1.74 |
 Watch |
 |
4.00 |
3.25 |
1.68 |
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 |
4.38 |
3.58 |
1.69 |
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 |
5.6 |
4 |
1.36 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.57 ↓
(5.75) |
3.59 ↓
(4.1) |
1.62 ↑
(1.4) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nação
19.6% | Draw
25% | Hercílio Luz
55.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nação has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)Hercílio Luz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hercílio Luz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nação than the current prediction. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hercílio Luz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Nação - Hercílio Luz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 60', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 71', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Hercílio Luz is Confirmed as championsnQualified for CatarinenseNação has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Hercílio Luz is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins). In this match, Hercílio Luz is a strong favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nação won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Nação won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hercilio Luz | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 35:10 | 25 | 42 |
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| 7 | Nacao | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19:26 | -7 | 21 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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