Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero (Heredia)

Referee: Mattus W. (Cos)


	Herediano		Municipal Grecia

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.5	7
	1.31	4.75	7.5
	1.33	5	8	Watch
	1.34	5.32	9.18
	1.32	5.32	9.18
	1.3	4.75	8.5
	1.33	4.85	8.25	Watch
	1.32	4.7	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.34)	4.9 ↓ (4.91)	8.15 ↓ (8.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herediano
69.8%

Draw
18.8%

Municipal Grecia
11.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.9%

19%

11.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.5%

18.1%

10.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Municipal Grecia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Herediano - Municipal Grecia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Herediano will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Grecia will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lezcano A. (G) 5. Quiros H. 2. Salazar A. 21. Rubio E. 3. Faerron F. 4. Galo O. 8. Cruz A. 10. Aguilar E. 11. Araya R. 34. Rojas A. 19. Garza A.	51. Sanchez L. (G) 4. Noya R. (C) 5. Gutierrez K. 32. Castro S. 22. Aguero J. 3. Martinez P. 10. Cole K. 70. Rivera Stuart J. 11. Villegas C. 99. Alvarado J. 27. Villalobos A.
Substitutes
16. Araya D. 24. Basulto M. 31. Orias S. (G) 90. Rodriguez F. 94. Ruiz J. 17. Tejeda Y. 28. Torres G.	30. Albin J. 7. Clunie G. 12. Meneses Salazar M. J. 29. Ramirez E. 24. Rodriguez R. 23. Vega J. (G) 19. Wright S.
Coaches
Altamirano H.	Roman J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
10', 0 - 1, Aguero J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Rubio E. ⚽,
27', 1 - 2, Noya R. ⚽,
31', Castro S. 🟨,
37', Castro S. ↓, Meneses Salazar M. J. ↑,
39', 1 - 3, Gutierrez K. ⚽,
43', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+1', Villalobos A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Salazar A. ↓, Araya D. ↑,
51', Villalobos A. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
51', Alvarado J. ↓, Clunie G. ↑,
55', 2 - 3, Rojas A. ⚽,
57', Cole K. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
57', Villegas C. ↓, Albin J. ↑,
61', Torres G. 🟨,
70', Garza A. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
80', Aguilar E. ↓, Basulto M. ↑,
85', Wright S. 🟨,
88', 3 - 3, Basulto M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Herediano won 3.

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Herediano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Herediano is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Herediano won 11 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 40-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Herediano won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Herediano
CONCACAF Champions Cup
03.04.24	Herediano - Pachuca	0:5 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
31.03.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	San Carlos - Herediano	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
13.03.24	Robinhood - Herediano	1:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
09.03.24	Herediano - Sporting San José	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTW
- Municipal Grecia
Costa Rican Primera Division
01.04.24	Municipal Grecia - Cartagines	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	Municipal Grecia - Puntarenas FC	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	San Carlos - Municipal Grecia	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Municipal Grecia - Municipal Liberia	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Sporting San José - Municipal Grecia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
27.01.24	Municipal Grecia - Herediano	0:1
05.11.23	Municipal Grecia - Herediano	0:0
02.09.23	Herediano - Municipal Grecia	3:0
18.03.23	Herediano - Municipal Grecia	3:0
01.02.23	Municipal Grecia - Herediano	1:1
27.09.22	Municipal Grecia - Herediano	1:2
09.04.22	Herediano - Municipal Grecia	3:1

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