Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF Champions Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero (Heredia)

Referee: Penso M. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Malaysia	Astro
Netherlands	ESPN
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Herediano		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.91	Watch
	3.6	3.4	1.98
	3.5	3.5	2	Watch
	3.78	3.62	2.02
	3.78	3.62	2
	3.4	3.4	1.91
	3.7	3.5	2.02	Watch
	3.7	3.45	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (2.7)	3.5 ↑ (3.25)	1.97 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herediano
25.8%

Draw
26.7%

Pachuca
47.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

28.5%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

28.4%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Herediano's form might have worsened.

Pachuca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pachuca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herediano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pachuca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Herediano - Pachuca Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Herediano will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Pachuca will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Lezcano A. (G) 5. Quiros H. 2. Salazar A. 3. Faerron F. 99. Brown K. 21. Rubio E. 17. Tejeda Y. 8. Cruz A. 10. Aguilar E. 34. Rojas A. 19. Garza A.	25. Moreno C. (G) 24. Rodriguez L. 22. Cabral G. 33. Micolta A. 8. Gonzalez B. 6. Deossa N. 96. Montiel E. 99. Rodriguez M. 10. Sanchez E. 11. Idrissi O. 23. Rondon S.
Substitutes
16. Araya D. 11. Araya R. 24. Basulto M. 14. Campos A. 20. Canales J. 98. Murillo A. 31. Orias S. (G) 90. Rodriguez F. 94. Ruiz J. 7. Ruiz Y. 28. Torres G. 15. Vega D.	3. Aceves D. 2. Barreto S. D. 88. Bautista A. 83. Berlanga J. 9. de la Rosa R. 87. Dominguez A. 31. Eulogio J. (G) 90. Gonzalez O. d. J. 85. Lopez R. 15. Luna I. 5. Pedraza P. 21. Rodriguez V.
Coaches
Altamirano H.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Rondon S. ⚽, Deossa N. (A),
16', 0 - 2, Rondon S. ⚽, Gonzalez B. (A),
45', Brown K. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', Rodriguez M. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
55', 0 - 3, Dominguez A. ⚽, Idrissi O. (A),
65', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
68', 0 - 4, Rondon S. ⚽, Idrissi O. (A),
69', Sanchez E. ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
69', Deossa N. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
70', Salazar A. 🟨,
72', Aguilar E. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
72', Salazar A. ↓, Araya D. ↑,
78', Cruz A. ↓, Canales J. ↑,
79', Garza A. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
79', Rondon S. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
79', Gonzalez B. ↓, Rodriguez V. ↑,
90', 0 - 5, Bautista A. ⚽, Idrissi O. (A),

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Herediano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pachuca is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Herediano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pachuca will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
31.03.24	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:0 ✺
27.03.24	San Carlos - Herediano	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
13.03.24	Robinhood - Herediano	1:1 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
09.03.24	Herediano - Sporting San José	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.24	Herediano - Robinhood	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTWW
- CF Pachuca
Mexican Liga MX
30.03.24	Pachuca - Toluca	2:3 ✺
17.03.24	Atlético San Luis - Pachuca	2:1 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
12.03.24	Pachuca - Philadelphia Union	6:0 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
09.03.24	Pachuca - Querétaro	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
05.03.24	Philadelphia Union - Pachuca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLWLT

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