Match Info

COSTA RICA: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 15

Date: 1 April 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio Allen Riggioni Suárez (Grecia)

Referee: Cruz H. (Cos)


	Municipal Grecia		Cartagines

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.95
	3.3	3.3	1.93
	3.5	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.68	3.64	2
	3.68	3.64	1.98
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	3.57	3.5	1.95	Watch
	3.35	3.4	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↑ (2.91)	3.46 ↑ (3.3)	1.96 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Municipal Grecia
26.6%

Draw
26.6%

Cartagines
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

28%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

27.8%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Municipal Grecia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Municipal Grecia's form might have worsened.

Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cartagines's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Grecia than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagines, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Municipal Grecia - Cartagines Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Sanchez L. (G) 32. Castro S. 4. Noya R. (C) 5. Gutierrez K. 22. Aguero J. 3. Martinez P. 10. Cole K. 70. Rivera Stuart J. 11. Villegas C. 99. Alvarado J. 27. Villalobos A.	35. Briceno K. (G) 5. Vargas J. (C) 12. Quiros J. 52. David A. 29. Samadian F. 17. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 23. Roman J. 6. Venegas J. 8. Lopez D. 7. Guevara A. 21. Urena M.
Substitutes
30. Albin J. 7. Clunie G. 12. Meneses Salazar M. J. 29. Ramirez E. 6. Ugalde J. 23. Vega J. (G) 19. Wright S.	18. Barahona C. 15. Cedeno F. 13. Cordero B. (G) 27. Daly J. 4. Espinoza K. 10. Flores D. 16. Martinez C.
Coaches
Roman J.	Garcia M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Alvarado J. ⚽,
7', Villalobos A. 🟨,
31', 2 - 0, Aguero J. (Pen),
45+1', Samadian F. 🟨,
45+2', Guevara A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Samadian F. ↓, Daly J. ↑,
46', Roman J. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
54', Alvarado J. ↓, Wright S. ↑,
61', Villegas C. ↓, Albin J. ↑,
61', Villalobos A. ↓, Ramirez E. ↑,
69', Cole K. ↓, Meneses Salazar M. J. ↑,
70', Rivera Stuart J. ↓, Clunie G. ↑,
75', David A. ↓, Barahona C. ↑,
84', Lopez D. ↓, Cedeno F. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grecia won 0.

The competitors look crappy now.

Cartagines will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Grecia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 26-44.

Including matches at home between the teams Grecia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-17.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Municipal Grecia
Costa Rican Primera Division
27.03.24	Municipal Grecia - Puntarenas FC	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	San Carlos - Municipal Grecia	2:0 ✺
02.03.24	Municipal Grecia - Municipal Liberia	1:2 ✺
28.02.24	Sporting San José - Municipal Grecia	4:1 ✺
25.02.24	Santos de Guápiles - Municipal Grecia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLLLW
- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
27.03.24	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	3:4 ✺
09.03.24	Cartagines - Puntarenas FC	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Sporting San José - Cartagines	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Guanacasteca - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
25.02.24	Pérez Zeledón - Cartagines	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
23.01.24	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	2:0
01.10.23	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	4:1
30.07.23	Municipal Grecia - Cartagines	3:4
01.05.23	Municipal Grecia - Cartagines	1:1
26.02.23	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	2:0
14.08.22	Municipal Grecia - Cartagines	3:5
20.07.22	Cartagines - Municipal Grecia	1:2

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