Match Info

Primera Division - Clausura - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Eladio Rosabal Cordero (Heredia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	FUTV, TDMAX


	Herediano		Cartagines

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	2.12	3.15	3.3	Watch
	2.29	3.2	3.52
	2.21	3.06	3.53	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.25
	2.16	3.04	3.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.85)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.36 ↓ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herediano
43%

Draw
29.8%

Cartagines
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48%

28.6%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.4%

21.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Cartagines has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herediano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cartagines, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Herediano - Cartagines Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Herediano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cartagines will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Carvajal D. (G) 5. Quiros H. 99. Brown K. 38. Montes G. 16. Araya D. 55. Roman Y. 37. Fuller K. 23. Rubio E. 24. Rodriguez S. 10. Aguilar E. (C) 9. Hernandez M.	1. Briceno K. (G) 18. Barahona C. 3. Faerron F. 5. Pereira M. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 8. Lopez D. 10. Nunez C. 13. Gaete J. 15. Flores L. 24. Zuniga S. 21. Marquez R.
Substitutes
11. Araya R. 25. Bravo E. 8. Cruz A. 26. Juarez E. 97. Leal R. 77. Montenegro J. 43. Sibaja G. 17. Tejeda Y. 62. Tepa 92. Walker A. (G)	26. Alfaro B. 22. Castrillo D. 16. Castro G. 2. Cordero R. 4. Hernandez M. 32. Lanfranchi E. 6. Montero C. 31. Mora J. 33. Moya C. (G) 9. Venegas J.
Coaches
Giacone J.	Villatoro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Lopez D. ↓, Alfaro B. ↑,
35', Faerron F. 🟨,
37', Marquez R. 🟨,
45+6', Montes G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Marquez R. ↓, Lanfranchi E. ↑,
55', Gaete J. ↓, Mora J. ↑,
59', Roman Y. ↓, Araya R. ↑,
74', Gonzalez Hernandez D. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
74', Pereira M. ↓, Venegas J. ↑,
75', Fuller K. ↓, Cruz A. ↑,
85', Araya D. 🟨,
89', Quiros H. 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 1-0.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 4.

Herediano is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cartagines's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Herediano could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Herediano won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Cartagines	9	6	0	3	18:10	8	18
9	Herediano	9	2	1	6	8:14	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
02.05.26	Cartagines - Herediano	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Herediano - Sporting San José	0:0 ✺
22.04.26	Pérez Zeledón - Herediano	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Herediano - San Carlos	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTWWW
- CS Cartagines
Costa Rican Primera Division
02.05.26	Cartagines - Herediano	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Guadalupe - Cartagines	0:5 ✺
21.04.26	Cartagines - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
17.04.26	Municipal Liberia - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
10.04.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
02.05.26	Cartagines - Herediano	0:1
10.04.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:2
14.02.26	Herediano - Cartagines	1:0
25.10.25	Herediano - Cartagines	2:1
10.09.25	Cartagines - Herediano	2:0
05.04.25	Herediano - Cartagines	1:1
16.02.25	Cartagines - Herediano	0:1

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