Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Carlos Alvarado (Heredia) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Costa Rica	20:00	FUTV


	Herediano		Cartagines

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.25	3.7
	1.93	3.20	3.50
	1.92	3.15	3.75	Watch
	2.07	3.32	3.98
	2	3.3	3.84	Watch
	1.98	3.25	3.9
	1.97	3.35	3.81	Watch
	1.94	3.25	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.16)	3.26 ↓ (3.27)	3.78 ↑ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herediano
47.1%

Draw
28.4%

Cartagines
24.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

43.3%

28.6%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

29.8%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herediano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Herediano - Cartagines Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Herediano will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Cartagines will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Herediano (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Herediano (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carvajal D. (G) 5. Quiros H. 16. Araya D. 99. Brown K. 38. Montes G. 8. Cruz A. 26. Juarez E. 45. Bennette N. 10. Aguilar E. 11. Araya R. 33. Lesme F.	1. Briceno K. (C) 12. Quiros J. 21. Cortes J. 2. Cordero R. 19. Gonzalez Hernandez D. 8. Lopez D. 6. Montero C. 26. Alfaro B. 13. Gaete J. 31. Morera G. M. 9. Tepa
Substitutes
25. Bravo E. 37. Fuller K. 42. Gonzalez D. 34. Henestrosa J. 97. Leal R. 31. Lezcano A. (G) 22. Murillo A. 24. Rodriguez S. 21. Rubio E. 27. Suarez A.	11. Alfaro L. 18. Barahona C. 38. Brenes E. 16. Castro G. 40. Fallas S. 15. Flores L. 17. Lopez Y. 27. Mora J. 33. Moya C. (G) 39. Villalobos M.
Coaches
Soto J.	Villatoro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Bennette N. ⚽,
35', Lesme F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cortes J. ↓, Brenes E. ↑,
46', Morera G. M. ↓, Villalobos M. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Cruz A. ⚽,
55', Araya R. ↓, Bravo E. ↑,
55', Juarez E. ↓, Rodriguez S. ↑,
60', Montero C. ↓, Mora J. ↑,
60', Gaete J. ↓, Castro G. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Castro G. ⚽,
72', Bennette N. ↓, Suarez A. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Aguilar E. ⚽,
79', Lopez D. ↓, Alfaro L. ↑,
84', Cruz A. ↓, Leal R. ↑,
84', Aguilar E. ↓, Murillo A. ↑,

Preview

A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 8th and 2nd in the Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Herediano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Herediano has faced a series of away games on the road.

Herediano is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Herediano has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:22 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Herediano against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Cartagines	13	8	0	5	24:17	7	24
8	Herediano	13	4	2	7	15:17	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Herediano - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 43.31%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Cartagines - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.09%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Herediano
Costa Rican Primera Division
18.10.26	Pérez Zeledón - Herediano	0:3 ✺
14.10.26	Alajuelense - Herediano	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Herediano - San Carlos	0:1 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Herediano	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Escorpiones de Belén - Herediano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTLLW
- CS Cartagines
CONCACAF Central American Cup
21.10.26	Cartagines - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:0 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
18.10.26	Cartagines - Deportivo Saprissa	1:0 ✺
13.10.26	Cartagines - Puntarenas FC	3:1 ✺
10.10.26	Sporting San José - Cartagines	3:1 ✺
20.09.26	San Carlos - Cartagines	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
30.08.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:0
09.05.26	Herediano - Cartagines	0:0
02.05.26	Cartagines - Herediano	0:1
10.04.26	Cartagines - Herediano	1:2
14.02.26	Herediano - Cartagines	1:0
25.10.25	Herediano - Cartagines	2:1
10.09.25	Cartagines - Herediano	2:0

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