Match Info

Date: 29 February 2020, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Hereford		Altrincham

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Hereford
34.4%

Draw
27.7%

Altrincham
38%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

19.8%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hereford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altrincham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
22.02.20	Hereford - Darlington	2:2 ✺
08.02.20	Hereford - Southport	2:2 ✺
01.02.20	Alfreton Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
25.01.20	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
11.01.20	Hereford - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLTT
- Altrincham
English National League North
15.02.20	Blyth Spartans - Altrincham	0:3 ✺
11.02.20	Spennymoor Town - Altrincham	3:2 ✺
08.02.20	Altrincham - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
04.02.20	Altrincham - AFC Telford United	5:2 ✺
01.02.20	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWT

English National League North
16.11.19	Altrincham - Hereford	5:1
22.04.19	Altrincham - Hereford	1:1
03.11.18	Hereford - Altrincham	1:1

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
31.10.26	Hereford - King`s Lynn Town	✺
- Altrincham
English National League
31.10.26	Altrincham - Carlisle United	✺

Hereford - Altrincham