Match Info

Date: 29 February 2020, Saturday


	Hereford		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.25	2.4
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.55	3.2	2.45
	2.64	3.23	2.37
	2.73	3.45	2.41
	2.6	3.4	2.5
	2.7	3.34	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.66 ↑ (2.63)	3.3 ↓ (3.36)	2.41 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
34.4%

Draw
27.7%

Altrincham
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

27.2%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

19.8%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Altrincham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hereford that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altrincham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hereford - Altrincham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
22.02.20	Hereford - Darlington	2:2 ✺
08.02.20	Hereford - Southport	2:2 ✺
01.02.20	Alfreton Town - Hereford	2:0 ✺
25.01.20	Hereford - Curzon Ashton	1:1 ✺
11.01.20	Hereford - Bradford Park Avenue	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTLTT
- Altrincham
English National League North
15.02.20	Blyth Spartans - Altrincham	0:3 ✺
11.02.20	Spennymoor Town - Altrincham	3:2 ✺
08.02.20	Altrincham - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
04.02.20	Altrincham - AFC Telford United	5:2 ✺
01.02.20	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
16.11.19	Altrincham - Hereford	5:1
22.04.19	Altrincham - Hereford	1:1
03.11.18	Hereford - Altrincham	1:1

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