Match Info

Date: 11 February 2020, Tuesday


	Spennymoor Town		Altrincham

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.7
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.28	3.3	2.75
	2.19	3.31	2.85
	2.28	3.53	2.97
	2.25	3.4	2.9
	2.25	3.52	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)	3.42 ↑ (3.31)	2.8 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spennymoor Town
40.6%

Draw
26.8%

Altrincham
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

27.7%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

19.7%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spennymoor Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Altrincham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spennymoor Town than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Spennymoor Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Altrincham than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Altrincham could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Spennymoor Town - Altrincham Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spennymoor Town
English National League North
08.02.20	Spennymoor Town - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
01.02.20	Gloucester City - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
25.01.20	Spennymoor Town - Leamington	2:0 ✺
18.01.20	Kidderminster Harriers - Spennymoor Town	1:1 ✺
11.01.20	Spennymoor Town - Kettering Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWWTL
- Altrincham
English National League North
08.02.20	Altrincham - Kettering Town	1:1 ✺
04.02.20	Altrincham - AFC Telford United	5:2 ✺
01.02.20	AFC Telford United - Altrincham	2:2 ✺
28.01.20	Kettering Town - Altrincham	0:2 ✺
25.01.20	Altrincham - Bradford Park Avenue	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
19.02.19	Altrincham - Spennymoor Town	0:2
11.08.18	Spennymoor Town - Altrincham	4:4

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