Match Info

National League North - Round 4

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Mariners Park (South Shields)


	South Shields		Merthyr Town

	1	X	2
	1.40	4.50	5.25
	1.38	4.60	5.75
	1.32	4.90	6.75
	1.45	4.76	5.86
	1.47	4.74	5.66	Watch
	1.40	4.65	5.70
	1.41	4.70	5.63
	1.42	4.50	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.48)	4.67 ↑ (4.62)	5.73 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Shields
64.6%

Draw
19.5%

Merthyr Town
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

20.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Shields has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

South Shields - Merthyr Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', 1 - 0, Sykes C. ⚽,
66', Tinkler R. 🟥,
81', 1 - 1, Margetson B. ⚽,

Preview

Merthyr is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, South Shields is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, South Shields won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, South Shields won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Outrights of English National League North for now

South Shields: 19.43% Merthyr Town: 1.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	South Shields	10	6	2	2	15:13	2	20
13	Merthyr Town	10	3	4	3	12:11	1	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Shields FC
English National League North
18.08.26	Morecambe - South Shields	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	South Shields - Chorley	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.26	Gateshead - South Shields	1:4 ✺
21.07.26	South Shields - Harrogate Town	1:2 ✺
English National League North
09.05.26	South Shields - Kidderminster Harriers	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWLL
- Merthyr Town
English National League North
18.08.26	Merthyr Town - AFC Telford United	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Spennymoor Town - Merthyr Town	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Worcester City - Merthyr Town	1:0 ✺
21.07.26	Merthyr Town - Briton Ferry Llansawel	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	Merthyr Town - Forest Green Rovers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
21.03.26	South Shields - Merthyr Town	4:1
11.11.25	Merthyr Town - South Shields	3:1

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