Match Info

National League North - Round 9

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Edgar Street (Hereford)


	Hereford		Worksop Town

	1	X	2
	2	3.5	3.2
	1.98	3.45	3.4
	2.02	3.52	3.47
	2.44	2.85	3.18	Watch
	2.01	3.42	3.43
	1.87	3.55	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.85)	3.38 ↓ (3.55)	3.39 ↓ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hereford
45.2%

Draw
27.4%

Worksop Town
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

25.7%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

26.3%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hereford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Worksop Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hereford than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hereford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worksop Town than the current prediction. (-3%)

Hereford - Worksop Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Hereford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Sterling-James O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 2 - 0, Williams A. ⚽,
89', 2 - 1, Hughes L. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 11).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Worksop may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Hereford could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hereford FC
English National League North
06.09.25	Darlington - Hereford	1:1 ✺
02.09.25	Hereford - Bedford Town	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Hereford - Alfreton Town	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Radcliffe - Hereford	1:0 ✺
23.08.25	Hereford - Chorley	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTWLL
- Worksop Town
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Harborough Town - Worksop Town	3:2 ✺
English National League North
06.09.25	Merthyr Town - Worksop Town	2:0 ✺
02.09.25	Worksop Town - Spennymoor Town	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	Worksop Town - Chester	2:1 ✺
25.08.25	Peterborough Sports - Worksop Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLTWW

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