Match Info

VENEZUELA: LIGA FUTVE - ROUND 24

Date: 18 August 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Polideportivo Misael Delgado (Valencia)


	Carabobo		Hermanos Colmenares

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.35	4.2	7.75
	1.35	3.95	7
	1.39	4.23	8.31
	1.35	4	9
	1.36	4.5	8.4	Watch
	1.35	4.4	8.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.73)	4.21 ↑ (3.39)	8.11 ↑ (4.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carabobo
67.1%

Draw
21.6%

Hermanos Colmenares
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

27.2%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

26.7%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.

Hermanos Colmenares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hermanos Colmenares might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hermanos Colmenares than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hermanos Colmenares could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Carabobo - Hermanos Colmenares Predictions

Users Predictions: Carabobo will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Caprio N. (G) 20. Chacon P. 3. Lujano C. 13. Pernia M. 2. Jimenez L. 5. Gonzalez G. 6. Flores F. (C) 17. Vasco J. 21. Robert Hernandez 11. Sosa C. 18. Hernandez J.	1. Curiel L. (G) 18. Caricote Y. 20. Rivas R. 16. Deusa J. 13. Yendis J. 23. Ruiz M. 24. Osorio J. 31. Pernia M. 17. Magallan C. 19. Gonzalez F. 9. Mena Y.
Substitutes
9. Apaolaza F. 33. Aponte L. 8. Bagayoko M. 10. Balza J. 24. Contreras H. 16. Lopez F. 19. Martinez L. 15. Ortiz J. 1. Riveros T. (G) 7. Tortolero E. 23. Williams P.	3. Alvarado J. 35. Caballero F. 30. Collazos J. 14. Colmenarez G. 12. Forero L. (G) 4. Manzanilla J. 7. Perez J. 6. Rodriguez D. 34. Urdaneta A.
Coaches
Tolisano J.	Vielma L.

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Recent matches Carabobo is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hermanos Colmenares is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Carabobo is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Carabobo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carabobo FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
12.08.23	Monagas - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
06.08.23	Carabobo - Metropolitanos	2:2 ✺
29.07.23	Rayo Zuliano - Carabobo	0:0 ✺
22.07.23	Carabobo - Mineros de Guayana	6:1 ✺
15.07.23	Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTTWT
- CD Hermanos Colmenares
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.08.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:0 ✺
06.08.23	Universidad Central - Hermanos Colmenares	2:1 ✺
28.07.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Academia Puerto Cabello	0:1 ✺
23.07.23	Portuguesa Acarígua - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0 ✺
14.07.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Rayo Zuliano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
17.03.23	Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo	2:1
21.07.22	Carabobo - Hermanos Colmenares	1:0
30.04.22	Hermanos Colmenares - Carabobo	2:3

Upcoming Matches