The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estudiantes de Mérida 52%
Draw 26.6%
Monagas 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
25.2%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
25.3%
26%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estudiantes de Mérida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Monagas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estudiantes de Mérida than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
0%
16.7%
Estudiantes de Mérida - Monagas Predictions
Users Predictions:
Estudiantes de Mérida will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rojas T. (G) 31. Montes G. 44. Caicedo L. 4. Rodriguez C. 18. Rivera B. 15. Rivas C. (C) 5. Ramirez Holguin W. S. 10. Pena A. 14. Ivey R. 9. Quejada K. 17. Magallan C.
1. Riveros T. (G) 5. Colorado J. 4. Maitan M. 14. Jaramillo F. 8. Ramirez C. 7. Basante F. 18. Caraballo J. (C) 49. Mancilla J. 16. Carrion E. 9. Rodriguez R. 55. Renteria M.
Substitutes
35. Ajam Elias 7. Albarran E. 26. Azocar J. 2. Gutierez J. 32. Izarra A. 16. Lobo J. 3. Marquez J. 11. Montero A. 20. Montilla Maldonado J. A. 28. Paez M. 12. Roberts E. (G) 36. Zambrano N.
20. Diaz H. 27. Farias E. 24. Herrera S. 33. Lima E. (G) 21. Peralta R. 19. Perez Piamo Y. J. d. J. 22. Perlaza E. 2. Rincones R. 77. Rodriguez L.
Coaches
Ortiz J.
Zambrano O.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, Pena A. ⚽, Magallan C. (A),
27', 1 - 1, Basante F. ⚽,
45+3', Jaramillo F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
53', Basante F. ↓, Herrera S. ↑,
55', Pena A. ↓, Montero A. ↑,
56', Montes G. ↓, Marquez J. ↑,
63', 2 - 1, Caicedo L. ⚽,
69', Carrion E. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
69', Renteria M. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
74', 2 - 2, Rodriguez R. ⚽,
76', Ramirez Holguin W. S. ↓, Lobo J. ↑,
81', Rodriguez R. ↓, Rincones R. ↑,
83', Quejada K. 🟨,
87', 3 - 2, Quejada K. ⚽, Magallan C. (A),
89', Magallan C. ↓, Azocar J. ↑,
89', Ivey R. ↓, Gutierez J. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: ) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 4.
Estudiantes Mérida is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Monagas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Monagas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Estudiantes Mérida will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes Mérida won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:26. (average 1.3:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes Mérida won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:7. (average 1.2:0.7).
Watch
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Rojas T. (G) 
Montes G. 
Caicedo L. 
Ivey R. 
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