Match Info

Liga FUTVE - Clausura - Round 10

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental de Maturín (Maturín)


	Monagas		Zamora

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	3.60	4.80
	1.82	3.40	3.60
	1.61	3.75	5.37
	2.13	3.26	3.47	Watch
	1.58	3.70	5.30
	1.63	3.56	5.76	Watch
	1.64	3.70	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)	3.57 ↑ (3.28)	4.76 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Monagas
54.4%

Draw
26.1%

Zamora
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Monagas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Monagas's performance.

Zamora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monagas than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Monagas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Monagas - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Riveros T. (G) 30. De La Hoz K. 21. Rodas A. 29. Henry N. 17. Paz J. 6. Romero A. 5. Colorado J. 26. Castillo D. 10. Gonzalez L. (C) 7. Basante F. 9. Rodriguez R.	12. Velasquez B. (G) 77. Jimenez N. 4. Rodriguez B. 6. Moreno J. 22. Madera J. 70. Espinal F. 8. Flores A. (C) 14. Palacios K. 11. Manrique H. 17. Marco Bustillo 38. Sinisterra J.
Substitutes
70. Arace R. 38. Asibe S. 16. Carrion E. 27. Farias E. 14. Jaramillo F. 33. Lima E. (G) 62. Manrique A. 35. Natera S. 3. Queiroz F. 8. Ramirez C. 77. Rodriguez L. 11. Uruena B.	10. Celis R. 28. Exime J. 9. Flores Marchan A. D. 7. Gallardo E. 2. Gomez S. 33. Martinez N. 13. Matos A. 1. Paredes E. (G) 20. Sulbaran S.
Coaches
Ortiz J.	Ortiz J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', Rodriguez B. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Rodriguez R. ⚽, Basante F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rodriguez B. ↓, Gomez S. ↑,
48', Castillo D. ↓, Carrion E. ↑,
52', Jimenez N. 🟨,
60', Colorado J. ↓, Jaramillo F. ↑,
60', Basante F. ↓, Arace R. ↑,
64', Palacios K. ↓, Sulbaran S. ↑,
64', Manrique H. ↓, Celis R. ↑,
64', Marco Bustillo ↓, Gallardo E. ↑,
70', Rodriguez R. ↓, Farias E. ↑,
70', Gonzalez L. ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
77', Flores A. ↓, Martinez N. ↑,
80', Arace R. 🟨,
90', Romero A. 🟨,
90+4', Paz J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Monagas is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monagas won 9 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.2:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Monagas won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:6. (average 1.4:0.7).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Monagas	11	4	2	5	12:13	-1	14
13	Zamora	11	2	2	7	10:21	-11	8

Last Results with these Odds

Zamora - the odds 4.1 are the expected chance of winning is 22.8%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Monagas SC
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.09.26	Caracas - Monagas	0:1 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.09.26	Monagas - Bolivar	5:1 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
06.09.26	Monagas - Metropolitanos	0:1 ✺
03.09.26	Academia Anzoátegui - Monagas	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Trujillanos - Monagas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLWL
- Zamora FC
Venezuelan Primera Division
13.09.26	Zamora - Trujillanos	1:2 ✺
Copa Venezuela
09.09.26	Real Fronteras - Zamora	0:2 ✺
Venezuelan Primera Division
05.09.26	Portuguesa Acarígua - Zamora	1:1 ✺
02.09.26	Zamora - Deportivo Táchira	2:5 ✺
30.08.26	Carabobo - Zamora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
04.04.26	Zamora - Monagas	2:1
08.11.25	Monagas - Zamora	1:0
17.10.25	Zamora - Monagas	2:0
23.08.25	Zamora - Monagas	2:3
14.03.25	Monagas - Zamora	2:1
11.10.24	Zamora - Monagas	2:4
12.04.24	Monagas - Zamora	1:0

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