Match Info

ENGLAND: ISTHMIAN LEAGUE PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 23

Date: 26 December 2022, Monday


	Herne Bay		Folkestone Invicta

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.75	2
	2.85	3.75	2.02
	3.01	3.78	2.11
	2.75	4.2	2
	2.93	3.82	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.78)	3.86 ↓ (4.2)	2.03 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Herne Bay
31.7%

Draw
23.6%

Folkestone Invicta
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

21.8%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

21%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Herne Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Folkestone Invicta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herne Bay than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folkestone Invicta than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	40%	0%

Herne Bay - Folkestone Invicta Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Herne Bay will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Herne Bay is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Folkestone is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Folkestone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Herne Bay have a series of home games.

Folkestone will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Herne Bay won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Herne Bay FC
English Isthmian League Premier Division
06.12.22	Herne Bay - Billericay Town	2:2 ✺
03.12.22	Herne Bay - Wingate & Finchley	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Herne Bay - Brightlingsea Regent	1:1 ✺
19.11.22	Horsham - Herne Bay	4:1 ✺
12.11.22	Herne Bay - Canvey Island	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TTTLL
- Folkestone Invicta
English FA Trophy
17.12.22	Folkestone Invicta - Leiston	1:2 penalties ✺
English Isthmian League Premier Division
10.12.22	Folkestone Invicta - Bognor Regis Town	4:1 ✺
06.12.22	Hornchurch - Folkestone Invicta	2:1 ✺
03.12.22	Canvey Island - Folkestone Invicta	3:0 ✺
30.11.22	Folkestone Invicta - Bowers & Pitsea	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Isthmian League Premier Division
29.08.22	Folkestone Invicta - Herne Bay	2:1

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