Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA SUDWEST - ROUND 17

Date: 19 November 2022, Saturday

Location: Auestadion (Kassel)


	Hessen Kassel		Wormatia Worms

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.3	3.4
	1.87	3.35	3.75
	1.95	3.45	3.5
	1.93	3.49	3.92
	1.85	3.4	3.6
	1.9	3.55	3.82
	1.93	3.4	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.3)	3.42 ↑ (3.14)	3.63 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hessen Kassel
48.1%

Draw
26.7%

Wormatia Worms
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.9%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

28.5%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hessen Kassel's performance.

Wormatia Worms has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wormatia Worms might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hessen Kassel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wormatia Worms than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wormatia Worms could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Hessen Kassel - Wormatia Worms Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hessen Kassel will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Wormatia Worms will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hessen Kassel: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The neighbours in a tournament table will play in a very interesting match (ranked 15 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hessen Kassel won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Hessen Kassel won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Hessen Kassel won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.11.22	Eintracht Trier - Hessen Kassel	0:1 ✺
05.11.22	Hessen Kassel - Bahlinger	3:2 ✺
30.10.22	Mainz II - Hessen Kassel	3:1 ✺
22.10.22	Hessen Kassel - TSV Steinbach Haiger	2:0 ✺
15.10.22	Ulm 1846 - Hessen Kassel	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWLWL
- Wormatia Worms
German Regionalliga Sudwest
13.11.22	Wormatia Worms - Homburg	2:5 ✺
05.11.22	Balingen - Wormatia Worms	1:0 ✺
28.10.22	Wormatia Worms - VfR Aalen	1:1 ✺
22.10.22	Freiberg - Wormatia Worms	2:2 ✺
15.10.22	Wormatia Worms - FSV Frankfurt	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLTTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
20.04.18	Wormatia Worms - Hessen Kassel	1:1
27.10.17	Hessen Kassel - Wormatia Worms	0:0
05.05.17	Wormatia Worms - Hessen Kassel	1:0
29.10.16	Hessen Kassel - Wormatia Worms	1:0
05.03.16	Hessen Kassel - Wormatia Worms	2:1
22.08.15	Wormatia Worms - Hessen Kassel	0:1
28.02.15	Wormatia Worms - Hessen Kassel	1:0

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