Match Info

1st Division - Promotion Group - Round 24

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Helsingor Stadion (Helsingor)

Referee: Svedborg B. H. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Hillerød		Horsens

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.1	3	Watch
	2.3	3.15	3.15	Watch
	2.38	3.2	3.23
	2.26	3.04	3.42	Watch
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.39	3.12	3.02	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↓ (2.49)	3.09 ↓ (3.17)	3.14 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hillerød
40.2%

Draw
30.2%

Horsens
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

29.2%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hillerød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	16.7%	50%

Hillerød - Horsens Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Horsens will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kappenberger A. (G) 13. Larsen S. 7. Witt J. (C) 25. Glindtvad W. 5. Boje-Larsen L. 12. Schmidt N. 11. Mouritz M. 19. Corlu R. 8. Arndal T. 22. Jalaei S. 9. Heiselberg F.	1. Delac M. (C) 26. Palsson V. 24. Kolskogen O. 35. Kupijbida M. 12. Tape C. 27. Ouorou Y. 20. Lusavec K. 14. Madsen J. 10. Kirkegaard K. 15. Justinussen A. 21. Samb M. M.
Substitutes
3. Allen C. 4. Arndal-Lauritzen G. 26. Dithmer A. (G) 6. Due Grandt M. 21. Enghardt K. 17. Julo M. 10. Kallsberg P. 20. Kucukylidiz B. 80. Sulemana H.	22. Batigi J. 9. Baturina R. 5. Bruus A. 37. Gouba A. 33. Ludwig A. 7. Milicevic I. 28. Saine A. 25. Sene F. 23. Smarsch D. (G)
Coaches
Lonstrup C.	Kristensen M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Larsen S. ↓, Allen C. ↑,
46', Samb M. M. ↓, Gouba A. ↑,
54', Corlu R. ↓, Kallsberg P. ↑,
64', Schmidt N. ↓, Kucukylidiz B. ↑,
64', Jalaei S. ↓, Sulemana H. ↑,
73', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
73', Ouorou Y. ↓, Batigi J. ↑,
79', Justinussen A. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
83', Arndal T. ↓, Kretzschmar N. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 3.

Hillerød has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Horsens is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hillerød may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Hillerød could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Hillerød won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 1.5:0.3).

Outrights of Danish 1 Division for now

Hillerod: 1.62%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Hillerod	9	2	3	4	13:14	-1	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hillerød Fodbold
Danish 1 Division
03.04.26	Hvidovre - Hillerød	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Hillerød - Aarhus Fremad	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Esbjerg - Hillerød	2:2 ✺
07.03.26	Hillerød - B.93 Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
27.02.26	Aalborg BK - Hillerød	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWTLT
- AC Horsens
Danish 1 Division
04.04.26	Horsens - Lyngby BK	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Horsens - Hvidovre	0:4 ✺
14.03.26	Aarhus Fremad - Horsens	0:0 ✺
09.03.26	Horsens - Lyngby BK	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Esbjerg - Horsens	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
23.11.25	Horsens - Hillerød	3:1
27.09.25	Hillerød - Horsens	2:1
25.10.24	Hillerød - Horsens	2:0
26.07.24	Horsens - Hillerød	3:2
24.05.24	Hillerød - Horsens	2:0
05.04.24	Horsens - Hillerød	1:0
27.10.23	Horsens - Hillerød	1:3

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