Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 30

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Banbury United

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.49	3.25	2.55
	2.52	3.25	2.62
	2.61	3.26	2.66
	2.53	3.08	2.57
	2.49	3.25	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (2.93)	3.2 ↓ (3.43)	2.58 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
36.2%

Draw
28.5%

Banbury United
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.6%

42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

26.2%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hitchin Town's performance.

Banbury United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Banbury United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hitchin Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Banbury United than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Banbury United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Hitchin Town - Banbury United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Smith B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 1.

Recent matches Hitchin is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Banbury is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Banbury could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 20:16 (average 1.3:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
01.02.25	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	3:1 ✺
25.01.25	Leiston - Hitchin Town	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Harborough Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LLWWL
- Banbury United
English Southern League Central Division
04.02.25	Banbury United - Kettering Town	1:0 ✺
01.02.25	Banbury United - Spalding United	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Bedford Town - Banbury United	2:2 ✺
18.01.25	Banbury United - Bishops Stortford	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Sudbury Town - Banbury United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
02.11.24	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	1:2
16.04.22	Hitchin Town - Banbury United	0:2
28.08.21	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	3:1
08.02.20	Hitchin Town - Banbury United	0:0
14.09.19	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	0:0
27.04.19	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	1:2
01.09.18	Hitchin Town - Banbury United	0:1

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