Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 29

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday


	Stourbridge		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.66	4	3.7
	1.67	4.1	3.85
	1.74	4.87	3.43
	1.75	4.22	3.88
	1.66	3.64	4.52
	1.67	4.1	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)	4.16 ↑ (3.92)	3.87 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stourbridge
54.2%

Draw
22.1%

Hitchin Town
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.4%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

23.9%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stourbridge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Hitchin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stourbridge than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Stourbridge - Hitchin Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Barnett T. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Freemantle E. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', 3 - 0, Barnett T. ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, Franklin L. ⚽,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Stourbridge won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hitchin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stourbridge have a series of guest games.

In this match Stourbridge is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Stourbridge won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22:15 (average 1.6:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Stourbridge won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:9 (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stourbridge FC
English Southern League Central Division
25.01.25	Harborough Town - Stourbridge	0:1 ✺
21.01.25	Stourbridge - Bedford Town	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Lowestoft Town - Stourbridge	1:2 ✺
14.01.25	Spalding United - Stourbridge	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	St Ives Town - Stourbridge	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLL
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
25.01.25	Leiston - Hitchin Town	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Harborough Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
19.10.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:5
27.04.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	0:0
28.11.23	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	0:2
11.02.23	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:1
24.09.22	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	3:0
11.12.21	Stourbridge - Hitchin Town	0:4
02.10.21	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	0:3

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