Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Leiston		Hitchin Town

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.85	3.74	3.76
	1.91	3.68	3.72
	1.83	3.58	3.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↑ (1.67)	3.63 ↓ (3.87)	3.64 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leiston
49.5%

Draw
25.3%

Hitchin Town
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

23.7%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

22.8%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leiston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leiston's form might have worsened.

Hitchin Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leiston than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leiston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Leiston - Hitchin Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Leiston will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Hitchin will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 1 - 0, Kyran C. ⚽,
68', 2 - 0, Wealth F. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Leiston won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Hitchin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Leiston is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Leiston won 5 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21:14 (average 1.8:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Leiston won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:4 (average 1.6:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leiston
English Southern League Central Division
18.01.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Leiston	0:1 ✺
04.01.25	Leiston - Stratford Town	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	Royston Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
28.12.24	Harborough Town - Leiston	4:0 ✺
26.12.24	Leiston - Lowestoft Town	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTLW
- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
18.01.25	Hitchin Town - Biggleswade Town	3:1 ✺
14.01.25	Hitchin Town - Redditch United	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Harborough Town - Hitchin Town	1:0 ✺
04.01.25	Bromsgrove Sporting - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
01.01.25	Hitchin Town - Barwell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
15.10.24	Hitchin Town - Leiston	1:1
06.04.24	Leiston - Hitchin Town	2:0
11.12.23	Hitchin Town - Leiston	1:4
25.02.23	Leiston - Hitchin Town	0:0
10.10.22	Hitchin Town - Leiston	0:3
05.03.22	Leiston - Hitchin Town	2:1
08.11.21	Hitchin Town - Leiston	4:1

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