Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 16

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.4	1.9
	3.4	3.5	1.92
	3.3	3.76	1.94
	3.36	3.73	2
	3.36	3.46	1.95
	3.4	3.5	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (3.09)	3.56 ↑ (3.5)	1.94 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
27.2%

Draw
25.7%

Harborough Town
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

26.2%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

25.6%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Hitchin Town - Harborough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Stokoe D. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Stokoe D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 3 - 0, Jones C. ⚽,

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 17).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Harborough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Harborough will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
09.11.24	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Hitchin Town - Lowestoft Town	2:5 ✺
19.10.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:5 ✺
15.10.24	Hitchin Town - Leiston	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 TWLLT
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
12.11.24	Harborough Town - Bishops Stortford	1:2 ✺
09.11.24	Harborough Town - Royston Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
02.11.24	Tonbridge Angels - Harborough Town	1:4 ✺
English Southern League Central Division
26.10.24	Lowestoft Town - Harborough Town	1:0 ✺
22.10.24	Harborough Town - Bromsgrove Sporting	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LTWLW

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