Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier Central - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2024, Saturday


	Hitchin Town		Stratford Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2
	3.1	3.5	2.03
	3.15	3.69	2
	3.25	3.66	2.07
	3.2	3.46	2.01
	3.1	3.5	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.77)	3.55 ↑ (3.4)	2.02 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hitchin Town
29.1%

Draw
25.7%

Stratford Town
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

26.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

25.8%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hitchin Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Stratford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hitchin Town than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stratford Town than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stratford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hitchin Town - Stratford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Lafferty D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 4.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Hitchin won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 29:20 (average 1.7:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hitchin won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15:8 (average 1.9:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hitchin Town
English Southern League Central Division
16.11.24	Hitchin Town - Harborough Town	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Biggleswade Town - Hitchin Town	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Banbury United - Hitchin Town	1:2 ✺
22.10.24	Hitchin Town - Lowestoft Town	2:5 ✺
19.10.24	Hitchin Town - Stourbridge	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTWLL
- Stratford Town
English Southern League Central Division
16.11.24	Sudbury Town - Stratford Town	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Stratford Town - Spalding United	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Royston Town - Stratford Town	0:1 ✺
22.10.24	Stratford Town - Barwell	1:1 ✺
19.10.24	Stratford Town - Lowestoft Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
10.02.24	Hitchin Town - Stratford Town	3:4
31.10.23	Stratford Town - Hitchin Town	0:1
25.03.23	Hitchin Town - Stratford Town	1:0
25.10.22	Stratford Town - Hitchin Town	1:2
22.03.22	Stratford Town - Hitchin Town	0:1
23.10.21	Hitchin Town - Stratford Town	0:1
17.10.20	Stratford Town - Hitchin Town	1:2

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