Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday

Location: SNP Arena (Sinsheim)

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Hoffenheim		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.75	2.63	Watch
	2.40	3.90	2.55
	2.40	3.85	2.55	Watch
	2.53	3.95	2.70
	2.7	3.92	2.46	Watch
	2.45	3.80	2.65
	2.51	3.84	2.69	Watch
	2.55	3.85	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.57)	3.86 ↓ (3.86)	2.61 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hoffenheim
38.4%

Draw
24.9%

Borussia Dortmund
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

24.4%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

24.4%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.8%	0%	95.2%

Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 1 - 4.8%). Borussia D will win (votes: 20 - 95.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 86.1% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Borussia D (1.52) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 20%). Borussia D (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Baumann O. (C) 34. Coufal V. 5. Kabak O. 21. Hajdari A. 39. Rots M. 8. Wimmer P. 7. Avdullahu L. 18. Burger W. 14. Daghim A. 10. Hlozek A. 19. Lemperle T.	1. Kobel G. (G) 22. Gadou J. 3. Anton W. (C) 39. Mane F. 26. Ryerson J. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 24. Svensson D. 19. Karetsas K. 14. Beier M. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
13. Bernardo 20. Conte B. 17. De Cat N. 15. Gendrey V. 2. Hranac R. 27. Kramaric A. 32. Lenz C. 9. Moerstedt M. 37. Philipp L. (G)	41. Albert M. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 33. Meyer A. (G) 18. Nwaneri E. 36. Prates K. 49. Reggiani L. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F. 25. Veerman J.
Coaches
Ilzer C.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', Mane F. ↓, Nwaneri E. ↑,
40', Kabak O. 🟨,
45', 1 - 0, Avdullahu L. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
45+2', Hajdari A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Nmecha F. ↓, Veerman J. ↑,
54', 2 - 0, Lemperle T. ⚽, Daghim A. (A),
61', 2 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Anton W. (A),
62', Karetsas K. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
63', Gadou J. ↓, Reggiani L. ↑,
63', Burger W. 🟨,
66', 2 - 2, Silva F. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
73', Hlozek A. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
73', Wimmer P. ↓, Conte B. ↑,
76', Reggiani L. 🟨,
78', Beier M. 🟨,
79', Kabak O. ↓, Hranac R. ↑,
79', Burger W. ↓, De Cat N. ↑,
80', Kramaric A. 🟨,
84', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
86', 2 - 3, Hajdari A. (Own goal),
87', Guirassy S. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 2.

Recent performances by Hoffenheim have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Borussia D is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 30:34. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.4:1.7).

Outrights of German Bundesliga for now

Dortmund: 9.23% Hoffenheim: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9:2	7	12
14	Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7:10	-3	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSG Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga
29.08.26	Köln - Hoffenheim	3:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
22.08.26	Erzgebirge Aue - Hoffenheim	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Tottenham Hotspur - Hoffenheim	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Hoffenheim - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLW
- Borussia Dortmund
German DFB Pokal
01.09.26	HEBC Hamburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:5 ✺
German Bundesliga
29.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV	2:0 ✺
German Super Cup
22.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Borussia Dortmund - Roma	2:2 ✺
Emirates Cup
09.08.26	Arsenal - Borussia Dortmund	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.04.26	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
07.12.25	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:0
26.04.25	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	2:3
15.12.24	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:1
25.02.24	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	2:3
German DFB Pokal
01.11.23	Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim	1:0
German Bundesliga
29.09.23	Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund	1:3

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